- The Twins are +100 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo López
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Minnesota Twins (+100) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) on Monday, May 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Twins vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 23-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 23-18 ATS.
Twins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -105 | +100 |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -120 |
Twins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+14.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games at home (+12.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+10.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- Trayce Thompson has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.05 Units / 60% ROI)
Dodgers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Nick Gordon | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
Dodgers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Nick Gordon | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Dodgers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nick Gordon | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Dodgers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Noah Syndergaard | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Pablo Lopez | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 away games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 games (+3.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+7.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 22-19 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 7.8% ROI).
- 23-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -2.78% ROI
- 17-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -14.05% ROI
- 21-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 5.22% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 23-18 against the Run Line (+7.95 Units / 17.47% ROI).
- 26-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 3.38% ROI
- 21-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.33% ROI
- 19-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -8.24% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .083 (3-for-36) against Pablo Lopez’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 31% (62 SO in 199 PAs) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 36% (54/148) against Pablo Lopez this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last nine games — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 7 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .588 (10-for-17) against Noah Syndergaard in close and late situations since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 39 stolen bases since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 32 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Twins are just 5-18 (.217) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 6-3 (.667) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Twins are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Dodgers are 33-21 (.611) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Dodgers are 137-66 (.675) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Dodgers are 136-57 (.705) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .198 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .278 (713 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .273 (304 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .436 (827 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .772 (2,382 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Dodgers hitters have 41 extra-base hits out of 78 total hits (53%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (5,606 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (5,606 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Twins have allowed 3.26 runs per game (62/19) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.53.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 513 of 7,368 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.06 (1607.1 IP) on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
The Dodgers have won 51% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Joseph Gallo (Twins): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Tricep, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique Strain, D15
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
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