- LSU is a -24.5 point favorite vs. UCLA
- UCLA vs. LSU Total(Over/Under): 56.5 points
- TV Channel: ABC
The UCLA Bruins (1-1) visit Tiger Stadium to take on the LSU Tigers (2-1) on Sep. 21 in Baton Rouge, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
LSU is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-105).
The UCLA vs. LSU Over/Under is 56.5 total points.
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UCLA vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UCLA | +24.5 -115 | 56.5 -110 | +1100 |
| LSU | -24.5 -105 | 56.5 -110 | -2500 |
UCLA vs LSU Prediction:
The winning team model predicts LSU will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UCLA and LSU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UCLA vs LSU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 86.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UCLA Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UCLA has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.35 Units / 7% ROI)
LSU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- LSU has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.30 Units / 1% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- LSU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UCLA players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UCLA Player Prop Bets Today
- J. Michael Sturdivant has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Logan Loya has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ethan Garbers has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- TJ Harden has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ethan Garbers has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for LSU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best LSU Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Mason Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Garrett Nussmeier has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Garrett Nussmeier has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 47% ROI)
UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UCLA is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- UCLA is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- UCLA is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- UCLA is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
LSU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
LSU is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI).
- LSU is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -16.87% ROI
- LSU is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- LSU is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. LSU
UCLA is winless (0-4) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .408
UCLA is winless (0-6) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .453
UCLA is 7-2 (.700) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2023 season– 22nd-best in FBS; Average: .480
UCLA is 4-1 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .524
LSU: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA
LSU is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .559
LSU is 4-4 (.500) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .392
LSU is 8-3 (.615) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-7th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .408
LSU is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .553
Matchup Notes for UCLA vs. LSU
LSU’s QBs has thrown for 903 passing yards in 3 games (301.0 YPG) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed 267.0 passing yards per game this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
LSU’s offense has thrown for 5,297 passing yards in 16 games (331.1 YPG) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. UCLA’s defense has allowed 226.9 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
LSU’s QBs has thrown for 903 passing yards in 3 games (301.0 YPG) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed 267.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
UCLA’s TEs has gained 522 yards on 31 receptions (16.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten TEs. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
UCLA’s WRs has gained 245 yards on 14 receptions (17.5 YPR) this season — 9th-best among FBS WRs. LSU’s defense has allowed 14.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
UCLA has gained 3,388 yards on 271 receptions (12.5 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among Big Ten skill players. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends
UCLA TEs have averaged 17.9 yards per reception (484 yards/27 catches) since the 2022 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.1
UCLA TEs have averaged 20.0 yards per reception (80 yards/4 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.9
UCLA’s TEs has gained 522 yards on 31 receptions (16.8 YPR) since the 2023 season — best among Big Ten TEs. LSU’s defense has allowed 12.4 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among SEC defenses.
UCLA’s WRs has gained 245 yards on 14 receptions (17.5 YPR) this season — 9th-best among FBS WRs. LSU’s defense has allowed 14.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
UCLA TEs have averaged 16.8 yards per reception (522 yards/31 catches) since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0
LSU Offensive Stats & Trends
LSU’s QBs has thrown for 903 passing yards in 3 games (301.0 YPG) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed 267.0 passing yards per game this season — 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
LSU’s offense has thrown for 5,297 passing yards in 16 games (331.1 YPG) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among FBS offenses. UCLA’s defense has allowed 226.9 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
LSU’s QBs has thrown for 903 passing yards in 3 games (301.0 YPG) this season — T-23rd-best among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed 267.0 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
LSU’s QBs has thrown for 5,297 passing yards in 16 games (331.1 YPG) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among FBS teams. UCLA’s defense has allowed 226.9 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big Ten defenses.
LSU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.9% of 522 attempts since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. UCLA’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.6% of attempts since the 2023 season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
UCLA Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends
UCLA has tackled opponents for a loss on 21 of 65 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.
UCLA has tackled opponents for a loss on 21 of 65 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 16%.
UCLA has allowed 7 rushing TDs on 453 carries (64.7 Carries Per TD) since the 2023 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 24.7
UCLA has tackled opponents for a loss on 111 of 453 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since the 2023 season– best in FBS; Average: 16%.
UCLA has tackled opponents for a loss on 19 of 58 rushing attempts (33% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 15%.
LSU Tigers Defensive Stats & Trends
LSU has allowed 8 rushing TDs this season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
LSU has allowed 8 rushing TDs this season– most in the SEC
LSU has no interceptions and 16 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 9.9
LSU has allowed a Completion Pct of 66% (76 completions/116 attempts) on 3rd and long since the 2022 season– worst in the SEC; Average: 54%
LSU has forced 7 fumbles this season– T-most in FBS
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