UMBC vs UMass Lowell Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:30 AM
  • UMass Lowell (12-14) is a -8.5 point favorite vs UMBC (17-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • UMBC / UMass Lowell TV channel: ESPN+

The UMBC Retrievers (17-13) visit Costello Athletic Center to take on the UMass Lowell River Hawks (12-14) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Lowell, MA.

UMass Lowell is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The UMBC vs. UMass Lowell Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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UMBC vs. UMass Lowell Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UMBC+8.5 -110O 161.5 -115+333
UMass Lowell -8.5 -110U 161.5 -105-450

UMBC vs UMass Lowell Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UMass Lowell will win this college basketball game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UMBC vs UMass Lowell Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UMass Lowell will cover the spread with 52.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UMBC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+13.10 Units / 86% ROI)
  • UMBC have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.90 Units / 75% ROI)
  • UMBC have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.80 Units / 64% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+5.70 Units / 108% ROI)
  • UMass Lowell has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UMass Lowell has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • UMass Lowell has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UMass Lowell has hit the Moneyline in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • UMass Lowell has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMBC has a 17-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI).

  • 10-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -33.82% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI

UMass Lowell Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMass Lowell has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.4 Units / -11.91% ROI).

  • 16-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -7.07% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -11.89% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 2.8% ROI

UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC is shooting 36% from three (198/544) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMBC has a 25% free throw rate (379 free throw attempts/1,542 field goal attempts) this season — 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

UMBC has a 26% free throw rate (890 free throw attempts/3,473 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

UMBC has an eFG% of 53% this season — 3rd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 51%

UMass Lowell Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMass Lowell has averaged 1.32 points per shot (1,772 points/1,341 shots) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 1.23

UMass Lowell has 20.9 free throw attempts per game this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 18.4

UMass Lowell has averaged 80.5 points per game (1,772 points/22 games) this season — 2nd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 75.2

UMass Lowell has made 6.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC has averaged 5.0 steals per game (119 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

UMBC has averaged 5.3 steals per game (299 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UMBC has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (738/1,604) this season — tied for 28th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

UMBC has allowed 83.3 points per game (1,999 points/24 games) this season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

UMass Lowell Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMass Lowell has averaged 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (601 rebounds/22 games) this season — 3rd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 25.8

UMass Lowell has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (3,744 points/3,337 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 1.21

UMass Lowell has averaged 7.0 steals per game (392 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 6.4

UMass Lowell has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,501 points/1,397 shots) this season — best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 1.18


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.