- Vermont (11-10) are -9.5 point favorites vs UMBC (14-8)
- Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The UMBC Retrievers (14-8) visit Roy L. Patrick Gymnasium to take on the Vermont Catamounts (11-10) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Burlington.
Vermont is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).
The UMBC vs. Vermont Over/Under is 143.5 total points.
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UMBC vs. Vermont Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| UMBC | +9.5 -115 | 143.5 -110 | +340 |
| Vermont | -9.5 -105 | 143.5 -110 | -450 |
UMBC vs Vermont Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Vermont will win this game with 66.8% confidence.
UMBC vs Vermont Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Vermont will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both UMBC and Vermont, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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UMBC Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UMBC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- UMBC have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- UMBC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- UMBC has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
Vermont Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Vermont has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 19 games (+15.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Vermont have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Vermont have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Vermont has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Vermont has hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.35 Units / 18% ROI)
UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UMBC has gone 11-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 12.09% ROI
- 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI
- 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI
Vermont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Vermont has gone 11-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.2 Units / 0% ROI).
- 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -9.7% ROI
- 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5.01% ROI
- 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.15 Units / -14.29% ROI
UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:
UMBC has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (212 turnovers/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.6
UMBC has averaged 10.3 turnovers per game (557 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5
UMBC has an eFG% of 54% this season — 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
UMBC has a 26% free throw rate (349 free throw attempts/1,347 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%
Vermont Offensive Stats & Trends:
Vermont has averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (210 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.6
Vermont has averaged 6.0 offensive rebounds per game (127 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5
Vermont has 15.1 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 17.7
Vermont has an eFG% of 55% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:
UMBC has averaged 5.1 steals per game (278 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
UMBC has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (455/1,241) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
UMBC has forced 11.1 turnovers per game (598 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7
UMBC has forced 11.0 turnovers per game (241 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.9
Vermont Defensive Stats & Trends:
Vermont has averaged 5.4 steals per game (295 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 23rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Vermont has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (3,480 points/3,015 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Vermont has forced 11.0 turnovers per game (231 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.9
Vermont has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (595 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7
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