Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 30

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(AP Photo/Matt York)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 30, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Dodgers are -115 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Dodgers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: SNLA | DBTV | ESPN+ | MLBN

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Dodgers are 18-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 14-15 ATS.

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Landon Knack 1-1, 3.28 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 1-1, 2.77 ERA

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +135O 9.5 -105-115
Diamondbacks +1.5 -160U 9.5 -115-105

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+10.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.95 Units / 112% ROI)
  • James Outman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kevin Newman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+19.50 Units / 488% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.30 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.95 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 79 of their last 137 games (+22.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 63 away games (+16.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 14-16 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -12.38% ROI).

  • 18-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -9.64% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 11.62% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -20.54% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 14-15 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -6.05% ROI).

  • 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -15.29% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -18.01% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 9.18% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +290 0.5 -350
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +300 0.5 -400
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Gabriel Moreno (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175
Randal Grichuk (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Opponents are hitting .400 (6-for-15) against Landon Knack when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .223 — seventh Percentile.

Landon Knack has allowed an OBP of .444 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .280 — ninth Percentile.

Landon Knack has allowed an OPS of 1.244 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .670 — seventh Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (4/16) against Landon Knack over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 45% — fourth Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Montgomery has walked 29 of 594 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 88th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has walked 1 of 50 batters (2%) over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has walked 1 of 50 batters (2%) this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 17% (53 SO in 305 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 11th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Dodgers are 206-33 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Dodgers are 45-16 (.738) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Dodgers are 28-9 (.757) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Dodgers are 106-13 (.891) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Diamondbacks are just 145-15 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Diamondbacks are just 128-23 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Diamondbacks are just 82-9 (.901) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Diamondbacks are 21-136 (.134) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .801 (5,326 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .345 (5,326 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .341 (9,835 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Diamondbacks are batting .314 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Diamondbacks hitters have just 71 strikeouts in 429 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks hitters have just 402 strikeouts in 2,126 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .374 (429 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Dodgers pitchers have picked-off 5 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

Dodgers pitchers have walked 968 of 13,036 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
  • Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.