- The Pirates are -130 favorites vs the Athletics
- Pirates vs Athletics Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Pirates / Athletics TV Channel: NSCA | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-130) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+110) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Pirates are 14-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 15-14 ATS.
Pirates vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 2-2, 5.15 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Alex Wood 1-2, 6.76 ERA
Pirates vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -120 | -130 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -160 | U 7.5 +100 | +110 |
Pirates vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 19 games (+16.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+11.90 Units / 198% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Alika Williams has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Alika Williams has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.90 Units / 297% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 11 games at home (+6.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 120 games (+15.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 76 of their last 134 games (+11.44 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 65 games (+10.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 128 games (+12.88 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 16-13 against the Run Line (+0.26 Units / 0.63% ROI).
- 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -1.87% ROI
- 13-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -13.87% ROI
- 16-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.03 Units / 6.4% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 15-14 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -7.84% ROI).
- 12-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 7.56% ROI
- 13-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -10.97% ROI
- 15-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 1.24% ROI
Athletics vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Seth Brown (ОАК) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| JJ Bleday (OAK) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Athletics vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jared Triolo (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Athletics vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Athletics vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .354 (619 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .284 (158-for-556) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 6% (1/17) against Mitch Keller on sliders this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (6/43) against Mitch Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Wood has allowed an OBP of .444 (133 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .391 (18-for-46) against Alex Wood when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .391 (18-for-46) against Alex Wood when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — first Percentile.
Alex Wood has allowed a slugging percentage of .574 (66 Total Bases / 115 ABs) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .389 — second Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Pirates are 43-8 (.843) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Pirates are just 13-20 (.394) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 123-64 (.658) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Pirates are just 67-16 (.807) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Athletics are just 5-8 (.385) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Athletics are just 60-116 (.341) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Athletics are just 31-64 (.326) at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Athletics are just 35-75 (.318) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .503 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Pirates hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .177 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Pirates are batting just .153 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .224 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .290 (3,498 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Athletics are batting just .218 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .643 (9,415 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers are throwing just 3.71 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,279 of 13,632 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Pirates pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Athletics have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.75 (813.2 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.37.
Athletics vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
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