UTEP vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

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A basketball coach with a red t-shirt with a LU logo printed on it
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2024, 11:36 AM
  • Liberty (12-16) is a -3.5 point favorite vs UTEP (10-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
  • UTEP / Liberty TV channel: ESPN+

The UTEP Miners (10-17) visit Propst Arena to take on the Liberty Flames (12-16) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EDT in Huntsville, AL.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The UTEP vs. Liberty Over/Under is 130.5 total points.

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UTEP vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UTEP+3.5 -110O 130.5 -105+145
Liberty -3.5 -110U 130.5 -115-175

UTEP vs Liberty Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UTEP vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UTEP will cover the spread with 59.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UTEP has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Moneyline in their last 3 games (+6.35 Units / 104% ROI)
  • UTEP have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • UTEP has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games (+5.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)

UTEP Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UTEP has a 11-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.6 Units / -21.43% ROI).

  • 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -10.86% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.6 Units / -21.36% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 13.01% ROI

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has a 12-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.5 Units / -17.92% ROI).

  • 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.55 Units / -21.29% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 9.06% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.5 Units / -17.92% ROI

UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends:

UTEP is shooting 66% from the free throw line (845/1,278) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

UTEP has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (290 assists/ 324 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UTEP has attempted 1,278 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Conference USA Teams

UTEP has a 43% free throw rate (1,278 free throw attempts/3,000 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 33%

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (660 assists/ 395 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Liberty has a TS% of 54% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 48%

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (390 assists/ 218 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Liberty has made 10.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

UTEP Defensive Stats & Trends:

UTEP has 255 steals this season — 2nd most among Division 1 Teams

UTEP has 543 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among Conference USA Teams

UTEP has 543 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Division 1 Teams

UTEP has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (336/1,027) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed 62.0 points per game (3,657 points/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (999 points/866 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Liberty has allowed 63.6 points per game (1,463 points/23 games) this season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Liberty has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.