Villanova vs UConn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 24, 2024, 11:37 AM
  • UConn (16-11) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Villanova (15-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Villanova / UConn TV channel: FOX

The Villanova Wildcats (15-11) visit Harry A. Gampel Pavilion to take on the UConn Huskies (16-11) on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Storrs, CT.

UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Villanova vs. UConn Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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Villanova vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Villanova+11.5 -105O 133.5 -110+500
UConn -11.5 -115U 133.5 -110-700

Villanova vs UConn Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UConn will win this college basketball game with 89.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Villanova vs UConn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Villanova will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Villanova has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Villanova has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Villanova have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+1.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 30 games (+22.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 31 games (+14.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 31 games (+11.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.15 Units / 18% ROI)

Villanova Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Villanova has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.85 Units / 6.46% ROI).

  • 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.65 Units / -9.29% ROI
  • 11-15 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -19.51% ROI
  • 15-11 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI

UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UConn has a 13-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.25 Units / 23.81% ROI).

  • 17-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.5 Units / 5.2% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 4.51% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.05 Units / -13.96% ROI

Villanova Offensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (778/948) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (778/948) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Villanova is shooting 83% from the free throw line (127/153) in the first half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

Villanova is shooting 82% from the free throw line (778/948) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 74%

UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has averaged 1.40 points per shot (1,950 points/1,392 shots) this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.26

UConn has averaged 17.9 assists per game (429 assists/24 games) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

UConn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (429 assists/ 246 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UConn has averaged 1.35 points per shot (5,014 points/3,725 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.26

Villanova Defensive Stats & Trends:

Villanova has allowed 63.1 points per game (1,136 points/18 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1

Villanova has allowed 63.8 points per game (1,530 points/24 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Villanova has allowed 66.1 points per game (3,831 points/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Villanova has averaged 5.7 steals per game (328 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (689/1,732) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 44%

UConn has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (641 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

UConn has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (258/665) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 43%

UConn has allowed 5.2 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.