Virginia Tech vs Louisville Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

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Louisville head coach Kenny Payne argues with a game official during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2024, 11:43 AM
  • Virginia Tech (13-16) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Louisville (12-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Virginia Tech / Louisville TV channel: ESPNU

The Virginia Tech Hokies (13-16) visit KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals (12-16) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Louisville, KY.

Virginia Tech is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Virginia Tech vs. Louisville Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Virginia Tech vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Virginia Tech-7.5 -115O 152.5 -110-350
Louisville +7.5 -105U 152.5 -110+275

Virginia Tech vs Louisville Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Virginia Tech will win this college basketball game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Virginia Tech vs Louisville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia Tech will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Virginia Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.75 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Virginia Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+0.45 Units / 10% ROI)

Virginia Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia Tech has a 12-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.5 Units / -17.27% ROI).

  • 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -0.62% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.65 Units / 8.26% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.5 Units / -17.32% ROI

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 11-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.55 Units / -17.4% ROI).

  • 8-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -9.77% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.35 Units / -1.1% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.82% ROI

Virginia Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia Tech has averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (167 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Virginia Tech has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (560 assists/ 347 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Virginia Tech has averaged 73.5 points per game (1,544 points/21 games) this season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 75.1

Virginia Tech has averaged 1.45 points per shot (831 points/573 shots) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.36

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (259 assists/ 420 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville has averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (473 turnovers/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 10.7

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (326 assists/ 473 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Louisville has averaged 14.1 turnovers per game (773 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

Virginia Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.3 steals per game (186 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.3 steals per game (294 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Virginia Tech has averaged 5.6 steals per game (117 steals/21 games) this season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Virginia Tech has allowed 30.3 points per game (637 points/21 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (332/695) in the first half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Louisville has averaged 4.9 steals per game (271 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Louisville has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (776/1,648) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Louisville has allowed an average of 1.42 points per shot (1,771 points/1,249 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.26


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.