- The Lakers are -2.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
- Friday, May 12, 2023 at 10:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Golden State Warriors visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Warriors vs Lakers Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 44-49 against the spread, while the Lakers are 47-45 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Golden State Warriors | +3.5 -115 | O 219.5 -110 | +140 |
Los Angeles Lakers | -3.5 -105 | U 219.5 -110 | -165 |
Lakers vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Friday‘s game with 56.4% confidence.
Lakers vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Lakers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Lakers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 99 games (+20.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 away games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 away games (+10.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 57 of their last 100 games (+10.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 away games (+9.60 Units / 20% ROI)
Lakers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 82 games (+23.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 35 of their last 55 games (+13.64 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 14 games (+11.95 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games at home (+10.20 Units / 20% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 44-49 (-9.9 Units / -9.57% ROI).
- 50-44 against the Moneyline (-26.85 Units / -11.2% ROI)
- 50-42 against the Over for game total points (+3.8 Units / 3.68% ROI)
- 42-50 against the Under for game total points (-13 Units / -12.57% ROI)
Los Angeles Lakers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 47-45 (-2.55 Units / -2.47% ROI).
- 51-43 against the Moneyline (+14.75 Units / 9.44% ROI)
- 48-45 against the Over for game total points (-1.5 Units / -1.45% ROI)
- 45-48 against the Under for game total points (-7.8 Units / -7.54% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Lakers:
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-19.36 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.11 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 82 games (-17.35 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 55 games (-16.91 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 58 games (-15.30 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 47 away games (-33.05 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 99 games (-32.60 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 88 games (-28.47 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 41 games (-27.45 Units / -43% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 48 away games (-24.89 Units / -38% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Los Angeles Lakers
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Los Angeles Lakers Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers
The Warriors are 7-11 (.389) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Warriors are 24-11 (.686) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Warriors are 69-32 (.683) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569
The Warriors are 29-15 (.659) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Lakers are 8-30 (.211) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .275
The Lakers are 54-51 (.514) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545
The Lakers are 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366
The Lakers are 49-43 (.533) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .458
Injury Report: Lakers vs. Warriors – Friday‘s Game, May 12
- LeBron James (Lakers): James is probable for Friday’s (May 12) game against Golden State.
- Mo Bamba (Lakers): Bamba is questionable for Friday’s (May 12) game against Golden State.
- Anthony Davis (Lakers): Davis is probable for Friday’s (May 12) game against Golden State.
- Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
- Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Warriors): Baldwin Jr. is questionable for Friday’s (May.12) game against Los Angeles.
- Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins is questionable for Friday’s (May.12) game against Los Angeles.
- Andre Iguodala (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Iguodala underwent successful surgery on his left wrist Tuesday and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0
The Warriors have made 16.6 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Warriors have averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6
The Warriors have made 15.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4
Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6
The Lakers have 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5
The Lakers have averaged 54.5 points in the paint per game (4,470 points/82 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5
The Lakers are shooting 47% (9,856/20,773) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,307 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Warriors have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (517 blocks/118 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Lakers have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Lakers have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (803 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Lakers have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (6,135 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.7
The Lakers have blocked 1,189 shots since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th most among NBA teams
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