- The White Sox (62-60) are -150 favorites vs the Orioles (63-58)
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (12-5), 2.08 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Austin Voth (3-1), 4.86 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Chicago White Sox (-150) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+125) on Tuesday, August 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The White Sox vs Orioles Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 61-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 79-41 ATS.
White Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | -1.5 +115 | O 7.5 -115 | -150 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -140 | U 7.5 -105 | +125 |
White Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 54 of his last 79 games (+26.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 59 of his last 81 games (+24.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 47 of his last 81 games (+18.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 54% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 51 games at home (+16.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+14.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+14.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 35 games at home (+14.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 66 of their last 122 games (+13.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 59 games (+13.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 30 of their last 54 games (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 61 games (+3.30 Units / 5% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 54-66 against the Run Line (-13.4 Units / -9.33% ROI).
- 61-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -7.52% ROI
- 53-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -7.19% ROI
- 58-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.19% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 79-41 against the Run Line (+30.7 Units / 19.36% ROI).
- 63-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +25.5 Units / 20.14% ROI
- 56-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -5.72% ROI
- 59-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -1.91% ROI
Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (395/1,101) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has struck out 36% (104/289) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (75/186) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .172 (45-for-261) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 98th Percentile.
Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Voth has allowed a slugging percentage of .348 (101 Total Bases / 290 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .244 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .331 (47-for-142) against Austin Voth versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .215 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (18-for-54) against Austin Voth on low fastballs since the start of last season — tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 10th Percentile.
Austin Voth has allowed a slugging percentage of .542 (77 Total Bases / 142 ABs) versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .341 — first Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The White Sox are just 5-44 (.102) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The White Sox are 11-2 (.846) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The White Sox are 32-28 (.533) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The White Sox are 19-4 (.826) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Orioles are just 11-25 (.306) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 29-6 (.829) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Orioles are 46-1 (.979) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Orioles are just 27-76 (.262) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .353.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have pulled just 39% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The White Sox are batting just .161 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.
White Sox hitters have drawn 52 walks in 1,091 PA’s (5%) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of .343 (3,050 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles hitters have 345 strikeouts in 1,391 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .233 (5,775 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.57 (524.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
The average home run distance against the White Sox pitchers since the start of last season is 394.2 feet — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 325 of 4,522 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.78 (1162.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Orioles vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Travis Lakins Sr. (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Jonathan Araúz (Orioles): Finger, D10
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
- Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Knee, D10
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Leury García (White Sox): Back, D10
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