- The Reds are -130 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Chicago White Sox (+105) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-130) on Sunday, May 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Reds are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The White Sox vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 11-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 19-14 ATS.
White Sox vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -175 | O 9.5 -105 | +105 |
| Reds | -1.5 +145 | U 9.5 -115 | -130 |
White Sox vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+11.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 23 games (+8.45 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 32 games (+11.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+10.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
Reds vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Reds vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Reds vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Reds vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Graham Ashcraft | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
| Michael Kopech | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+5.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.55 Units / 19% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+9.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.80 Units / 20% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 15-19 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -16.7% ROI).
- 11-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.95 Units / -32.04% ROI
- 18-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.05 Units / 10.87% ROI
- 13-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -17.95% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 19-14 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 12.27% ROI).
- 14-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -11.83% ROI
- 17-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.83% ROI
- 16-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -7.5% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Kopech has walked 43 of 288 left-handed batters (15%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (45/254) against Michael Kopech since last season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (58/259) against Michael Kopech with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 32% — second Percentile.
Michael Kopech walked 18 of 117 batters (15%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .054 (2-for-37) against Graham Ashcraft with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft allowed a batting average of .296 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– 11th Percentile and just .120 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (second best among qualified SPs)– 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .108 (7-for-65) against Graham Ashcraft this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has struck out just 12% (9/75) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The White Sox are just 3-6 (.333) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The White Sox are just 7-5 (.583) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .850.
The White Sox are just 1-9 (.100) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The White Sox are just 7-4 (.636) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Reds are just 20-22 (.476) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Reds are just 19-28 (.404) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The Reds are just 62-6 (.912) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Reds are 11-2 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have 117 extra-base hits out of 372 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 45 walks in 919 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 343 walks in 5,782 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Reds hitters are slugging just .322 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 32% against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have allowed 2.18 runs per game (74/34) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.34.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 147 of 1,359 batters (11%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .343 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .313 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .373 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .331 against Reds pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Reds vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Fernando Cruz (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Back, Day-to-Day
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Appendix, D10
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D10
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