- The Washington Mystics went 19-21 last season.
- Washington's win total is 11.5 entering 2024.
The Washington Mystics have gone from a contender to a rebuilding team in the blink of an eye.
Entering last season, the Mystics were viewed as one of the best teams in the league.
However, after an underwhelming 19-21 campaign and some notable offseason departures, Washington enters the 2024 WNBA season as a long shot at the online sportsbook.
Mystics Futures Odds
Win total: 11.5
To make playoffs: +375
To miss playoffs: -500
Championship odds: +8000
The Mystics have been perennial postseason contenders, with six playoff berths and one title in the last seven years.
But Washington has -500 odds to miss the playoffs this summer. The Los Angeles Sparks are the only team with better odds, thanks to a -800 price tag.
The Mystics have a win total of 11.5. They haven’t won fewer than 11 games since a 5-29 campaign in 2012, not counting the 2020 season.
Mystics 2024 Betting Prediction
Prediction: Consider Overs for Washington Games
I don’t really see any value in these preseason odds for a Washington team projected to finish with about 11 wins.
The losses of two-time WNBA MVP Elena Delle Donne and point guard Natasha Cloud are too much to overcome. The Mystics are unlikely to be in the playoff picture this year.
But from a betting perspective, I’m intrigued by Washington’s point totals. Specifically, overs might be back on the menu.
My model made the Mystics a strong under team last year, ranking fourth in defensive rating and eighth in points per game.
But the Mystics plan to change their offensive approach this season, as reported by The Next. They plan to pressure the rim and create more catch-and-shoot opportunities from 3-point range.
Between guard Brittney Sykes and forward Shakira Austin, there are enough intriguing pieces here to make the Mystics more formidable at scoring.
Oddsmakers will adjust after a few games, but that’s why bettors should be ready to pounce on discounted overs right away.
2023 WNBA Standings
| Team | W | L | W/L% | GB |
| New York Liberty* | 32 | 8 | 0.8 | — |
| Minnesota Lynx* | 30 | 10 | 0.75 | 2 |
| Connecticut Sun* | 28 | 12 | 0.7 | 4 |
| Las Vegas Aces* | 27 | 13 | 0.675 | 5 |
| Seattle Storm* | 25 | 15 | 0.625 | 7 |
| Indiana Fever* | 20 | 20 | 0.5 | 12 |
| Phoenix Mercury* | 19 | 21 | 0.475 | 13 |
| Atlanta Dream* | 15 | 25 | 0.375 | 17 |
| Washington Mystics | 14 | 26 | 0.35 | 18 |
| Chicago Sky | 13 | 27 | 0.325 | 19 |
| Dallas Wings | 9 | 31 | 0.225 | 23 |
| Los Angeles Sparks | 8 | 32 | 0.2 | 24 |
Mystics Season-by-Season Records
| Year | Record | Playoffs Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19-21 | Lost First Round |
| 2022 | 22-14 | Lost First Round |
| 2021 | 12-20 | Missed Playoffs |
| 2020 | 9-13 | Lost First Round |
| 2019 | 26-8 | Won Finals |
| 2018 | 22-12 | Lost Finals |
| 2017 | 18-16 | Lost Semis |
| 2016 | 13-21 | Missed Playoffs |
| 2015 | 18-16 | Lost Eastern Conference Semis |
| 2014 | 16-18 | Lost Eastern Conference Semis |
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