Xavier vs Butler Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 6

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Butler head coach Thad Matta argues a call from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Xavier, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
(AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 06, 2024, 11:35 AM
  • Butler (13-16) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Xavier (15-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • Xavier / Butler TV channel: CBSSN

The Xavier Musketeers (15-14) visit Hinkle Fieldhouse to take on the Butler Bulldogs (13-16) on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.

Butler is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Xavier vs. Butler Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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Xavier vs. Butler Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Xavier+3.5 -110O 156.5 -110+125
Butler -3.5 -110U 156.5 -110-150

Xavier vs Butler Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Butler will win this college basketball game with 57.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Xavier vs Butler Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Xavier will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Xavier has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+7.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+2.80 Units / 3% ROI)

Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Xavier has a 15-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 2.19% ROI).

  • 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.4 Units / -12.4% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.19% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.45 Units / -10.83% ROI

Butler Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Butler has a 13-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI).

  • 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.25 Units / 7.16% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -8.11% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -0.94% ROI

Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 18.1 assists per game (1,105 assists/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Xavier has 765 assists at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big East Teams

Xavier has averaged 18.1 assists per game (1,105 assists/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 14.1

Xavier has averaged 40.9 points per game (2,496 points/61 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 38.5

Butler Offensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Butler has 15.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.8

Butler is shooting 79% from the free throw line (332/422) this season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Butler has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (245 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (660 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Xavier has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,685 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Xavier has averaged 7.0 steals per game (167 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Xavier has averaged 6.6 steals per game (403 steals/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Butler Defensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (185/596) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (156/494) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (3,889 points/3,364 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Butler has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,715 points/1,490 shots) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.