- The Tigers are -115 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán, 3.52 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning, 14.21 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The New York Yankees (-105) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (-115) on Friday, March 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Lakeland.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Yankees vs Tigers Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Yankees are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 6-8 ATS.
Yankees vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -200 | O 11.5 -105 | -105 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +165 | U 11.5 -115 | -115 |
Yankees vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 67.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.50 Units / 99% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.65 Units / 122% ROI)
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eric Haase has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.70 Units / 185% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 away games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 away games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 62 games (+8.45 Units / 13% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 6-7 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -11.11% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -21.45% ROI
- 9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.45 Units / 30.27% ROI
- 4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -40.65% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 6-8 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -5.7% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 12.06% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.45 Units / 35.5% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -46.6% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Domingo German since the start of the 2021 season is 380.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 398.9
The average home run distance against Domingo German against right-handed batters since the start of the 2021 season is 380.8 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 399.1
Domingo German has allowed a slugging percentage of .644 (65 Total Bases / 101 ABs) on fastballs away since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .384 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% (24/63) against Domingo German’s changeup last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 51% — fifth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .149 (10-for-67) against Matt Manning over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 97th Percentile.
Matt Manning allowed a slugging percentage of just .224 (15 Total Bases / 67 ABs) over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .401 — 94th Percentile.
Matt Manning allowed an OBP of just .216 (74 PA’s) over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .301 — 94th Percentile.
Matt Manning threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (31/55) of opposing batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 65% — eighth Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Yankees are 10-49 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Yankees are 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees are 57-24 (.704) at home last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Yankees are 28-4 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Tigers are just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Tigers are 13-1 (.929) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Tigers are just 7-34 (.171) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Tigers are just 35-46 (.432) at home last season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have drawn 268 walks in 2,113 PA’s (13%) in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Yankees hitters had an OPS of 1.230 (1,113 PA’s) when the pitcher was behind in the count last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.064.
Yankees hitters have drawn 271 walks in 2,878 PA’s (9%) when leading off an inning since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters slugged just .331 against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,569 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of the 2021 season is 392.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3
Yankees pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 129 of 1,425 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
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