Alabama vs Ole Miss Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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Texas A&M forward Andersson Garcia (11) guards Mississippi guard Matthew Murrell (11) during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Oxford, Miss., Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2023. Texas A&M won 69-61. (AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
(AP Photo/Rogelio V. Solis)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 12:01 PM
  • Alabama (16-11) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Ole Miss (13-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 166.5 points
  • Alabama / Ole Miss TV channel: ESPN2

The Alabama Crimson Tide (16-11) visit The Pavilion at Ole Miss to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (13-14) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Oxford, MS.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Alabama vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 166.5 total points.

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Alabama vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama-5.5 -105O 166.5 -110-225
Ole Miss +5.5 -115U 166.5 -110+185

Alabama vs Ole Miss Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this college basketball game with 70.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alabama vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+2.90 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 16-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 13.04% ROI).

  • 15-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 1.32% ROI
  • 20-7 when betting the Over for +12.3 Units / 41.34% ROI
  • 7-20 when betting the Under for -14.95 Units / -50.42% ROI

Ole Miss Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ole Miss has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -8.39% ROI).

  • 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 12.06% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -0.68% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.05% ROI

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has made 11.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Alabama has made 299 three-pointers in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has 1,790 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has attempted 871 threes in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ole Miss has averaged 4.6 turnovers per game (101 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Ole Miss is shooting 39% from three (165/428) this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Ole Miss has a 32% free throw rate (420 free throw attempts/1,307 field goal attempts) this season — 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Ole Miss has averaged 71.1 points per game (3,913 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74.3

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Alabama has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,492/3,790) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Alabama has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (620 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Ole Miss Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ole Miss has 187 steals this season — 10th most among Power Conference teams

Ole Miss has averaged 8.5 steals per game (187 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Ole Miss has 187 steals this season — 2nd most among SEC Teams

Ole Miss has averaged 8.2 steals per game (271 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.