Alabama State vs Texas Southern Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 29

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No 12 from Texas Southern dribbling the NBA game ball with an opponent behind him
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 29, 2024, 11:52 AM
  • Texas Southern (8-8) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Alabama State (11-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Alabama State / Texas Southern TV channel: ESPN+

The Alabama State Hornets (11-5) visit H&PE Arena to take on the Texas Southern Tigers (8-8) on Jan. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Houston, TX.

Texas Southern is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Alabama State vs. Texas Southern Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Alabama State vs. Texas Southern Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama State+4.5 -105O 135.5 -110+165
Texas Southern -4.5 -115U 135.5 -110-200

Alabama State vs Texas Southern Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas Southern will win this college basketball game with 66.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alabama State vs Texas Southern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama State will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Alabama State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Alabama State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Alabama State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Texas Southern has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Texas Southern has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Texas Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)

Alabama State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama State has a 11-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI).

  • 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 6.51% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI

Texas Southern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Southern has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI).

  • 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.6 Units / -27.47% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting the Over for -6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting the Under for +4.4 Units / 23.53% ROI

Alabama State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State has averaged 1.07 points per shot (1,275 points/1,188 shots) this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Alabama State has an eFG% of 44% this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Alabama State has averaged 1.08 points per shot (3,238 points/3,002 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 1.17

Alabama State is shooting 39% (458/1,188) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Texas Southern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Southern is shooting 28% from three (277/981) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Texas Southern has made 5.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas Southern has an eFG% of 46% since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Texas Southern has averaged 1.12 points per shot (3,545 points/3,165 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Alabama State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State has averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (450 rebounds/18 games) this season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.3

Alabama State has averaged 9.3 steals per game (168 steals/18 games) this season — 4th best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 8.1

Alabama State has 168 steals this season — 4th most among SWAC Teams

Alabama State has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,151 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Texas Southern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Southern has averaged 24.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,260 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Texas Southern has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (398 rebounds/17 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.3

Texas Southern has averaged 6.8 steals per game (352 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Texas Southern has allowed an average of 1.25 points per shot (1,237 points/992 shots) this season — best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.35


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.