Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 20, 2024, 11:19 AM
  • Tennessee (7-9) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Alabama (10-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
  • Alabama / Tennessee TV channel: ESPN2

The Alabama Crimson Tide (10-7) visit Thompson-Boling Arena to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (7-9) on Jan. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Knoxville, TN.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Alabama vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 158.5 total points.

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Alabama vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama+5.5 -105O 158.5 -110+185
Tennessee -5.5 -115U 158.5 -110-225

Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alabama vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+4.00 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+1.35 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 36 games (+0.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 34 games (+14.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+3.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+3.10 Units / 4% ROI)

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 10-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.3 Units / 12.2% ROI).

  • 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -2.38% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting the Over for +6.5 Units / 34.76% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting the Under for -8.2 Units / -43.85% ROI

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 7-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.85 Units / -15.32% ROI).

  • 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 6.85% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has made 401 three-pointers at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has made 11.7 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.8

Alabama has made 565 three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has made 269 three-pointers in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has 890 assists since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Tennessee has averaged 8.6 assists per game (458 assists/53 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (890 assists/ 623 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee is shooting 77% from the free throw line (265/343) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 30.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,637 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Alabama has averaged 30.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,637 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,323/3,417) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (885/2,244) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (192/738) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Tennessee has allowed 56.7 points per game (1,871 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 66.8

Tennessee has allowed 60.5 points per game (3,206 points/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 69.1

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (325/1,171) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.