Alcorn State vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 12

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An umpire approaches a team coach who is wearing a green tracksuit top
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 12, 2024, 10:20 AM
  • Alcorn State (10-12) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Mississippi Valley State (9-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Alcorn State / Mississippi Valley State TV channel: ESPN+

The Alcorn State Braves (10-12) visit R.W. Harrison HPER Complex to take on the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (9-14) on Feb. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Itta Bena, MS.

Alcorn State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alcorn State-10.5 -110O 134.5 -110-650
Mississippi Valley State +10.5 -110U 134.5 -110+450

Alcorn State vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alcorn State will win this college basketball game with 85.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alcorn State vs Mississippi Valley State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mississippi Valley State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Mississippi Valley State vs Alcorn State and all games with BetMGM


  • Alcorn State have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Alcorn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Alcorn State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 23 away games (+2.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games at home (+1.00 Units / 10% ROI)

Alcorn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alcorn State has a 10-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -37.73% ROI
  • 12-10 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • 10-12 when betting the Under for -3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI

Mississippi Valley State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi Valley State has a 9-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.4 Units / -25.35% ROI).

  • 0-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -100% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Over for -4.25 Units / -16.83% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 7.89% ROI

Alcorn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alcorn State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (546 assists/ 646 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Alcorn State has 21.4 free throw attempts per game this season — 5th best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 20.2

Alcorn State has averaged 10.1 assists per game (546 assists/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Alcorn State has averaged 10.5 assists per game (232 assists/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Mississippi Valley State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 54.0 points per game (1,134 points/21 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.8

Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (488 assists/ 822 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.8

Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.5 (167 assists/ 326 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.5 (167 assists/ 326 TOs) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.9

Alcorn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alcorn State has allowed 10.6 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.8

Alcorn State has averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,170 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Alcorn State has averaged 7.7 steals per game (416 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Alcorn State has allowed 8.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.4

Mississippi Valley State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 19.1 defensive rebounds per game (402 rebounds/21 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 20.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,086 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Mississippi Valley State has allowed opponents to shoot 45% from three (59/132) this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 6.2 steals per game (130 steals/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 8.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.