Arizona vs UCLA Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 12:10 PM
  • UCLA (26-4) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Arizona (25-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Arizona Wildcats (25-5) visit Pauley Pavilion to take on the UCLA Bruins (26-4) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Los Angeles.

UCLA is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Arizona vs. UCLA Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Arizona vs. UCLA Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arizona+5.5 -115O 148.5 -110+170
UCLA -5.5 -105U 148.5 -110-210

Arizona vs UCLA Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UCLA will win this game with 61.3% confidence.

Arizona vs UCLA Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona and UCLA, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 away games (+10.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 50 games (+8.95 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 36 games (+19.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • UCLA have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UCLA have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • UCLA has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.40 Units / 29% ROI)

Arizona Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arizona has gone 14-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 18-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -4.13% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI

UCLA Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCLA has gone 17-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 19-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.55 Units / 10.63% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -10.89% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Under for +0.65 Units / 1.97% ROI

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona has averaged 19.5 assists per game (448 assists/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Arizona has averaged 1.37 points per shot (938 points/683 shots) in the first half this season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.15

Arizona has 580 assists in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Pac 12 Teams

Arizona has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (228 assists/ 142 TOs) in the second half this season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCLA has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (542 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

UCLA has averaged 10.4 turnovers per game (229 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 13.0

UCLA has a 24% free throw rate (334 free throw attempts/1,364 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

UCLA has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (415 assists/ 262 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona has averaged 30.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,819 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Arizona has averaged 30.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,819 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Arizona has averaged 30.3 defensive rebounds per game (698 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Arizona has averaged 30.3 defensive rebounds per game (698 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

UCLA Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCLA has allowed 28.3 points per game (622 points/22 games) in the first half this season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 31.4

UCLA has forced 15.9 turnovers per game (238 turnovers/15 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 12.2

UCLA has forced 16.8 turnovers per game (369 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 12.8

UCLA has allowed 61.9 points per game (928 points/15 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 72.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.