- The Braves are -135 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Braves vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Braves / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | BSSE | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-135) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (+115) on Sunday, May 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Braves are 20-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 17-18 ATS.
Braves vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 2-0, 3.98 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 3-0, 3.51 ERA
Braves vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -115 | -135 |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -155 | U 8.5 -105 | +115 |
Braves vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+15.40 Units / 63% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+13.50 Units / 84% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.45 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+11.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.90 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.10 Units / 66% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.10 Units / 91% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 35 games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 132 games (+18.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 122 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.74 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 15-16 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -3.03% ROI).
- 20-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 4.51% ROI
- 12-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -19% ROI
- 17-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 11.35% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 17-18 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -7.72% ROI).
- 22-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -4.15% ROI
- 19-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 6.81% ROI
- 15-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -15.3% ROI
Dodgers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Dodgers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Dodgers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Dodgers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (62/92) against Max Fried this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.0 MPH this season (54 balls in play) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 79.0 MPH (54 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 82% (23/28) against Max Fried — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Paxton has walked 22 of 114 batters (19%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
James Paxton has walked 20 of 94 right-handed batters (21%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
James Paxton has walked 12 of 44 batters (27%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
James Paxton has a strikeout rate of just 25% (15 SO in 61 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Braves are 49-45 (.521) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Braves are 17-56 (.233) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Braves are 45-91 (.331) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Dodgers are 46-16 (.742) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 209-34 (.860) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 109-14 (.886) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Dodgers are 231-103 (.692) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .482 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves hitters are slugging .704 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Braves hitters are slugging .507 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .829 (7,451 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .802 (5,419 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .793 (9,928 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .358 (892 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .821 (892 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.5 MPH this season (726 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.5 MPH (726 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have picked-off 5 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 46% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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