- The Athletics are -130 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Athletics Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Marlins / Athletics TV Channel: BSFL | NSCA
The Miami Marlins (+115) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (-135) on Sunday, May 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Marlins are 9-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 20-14 ATS.
Marlins vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sixto Sanchez 0-1, 8.36 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Joe Boyle 2-4, 6.08 ERA
Marlins vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -105 | +115 |
| Athletics | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -115 | -135 |
Marlins vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Athletics will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 26 games (+13.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+11.30 Units / 283% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+25.00 Units / 278% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+7.30 Units / 22% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 128 games (+12.88 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 10-25 against the Run Line (-20.91 Units / -46.05% ROI).
- 9-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.4 Units / -45.94% ROI
- 19-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 4.3% ROI
- 16-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -12.42% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 20-14 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 7.51% ROI).
- 17-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 21.01% ROI
- 14-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.75 Units / -15.56% ROI
- 18-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 5.81% ROI
Athletics vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Lawrence Butler (OAK) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Athletics vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nevin (OAK) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tim Anderson (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Lawrence Butler (OAK) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Athletics vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seth Brown (ОАК) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Athletics vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sixto Sanchez has allowed an OPS of 1.315 (23 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .691 — third Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .500 (10-for-20) against Sixto Sanchez this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 10% (6/59) against Sixto Sanchez this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Sixto Sanchez has a strike rate of 77% (63/82) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Boyle has walked 20 of 122 batters (16%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Joe Boyle has walked 17 of 82 batters (21%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Joe Boyle has allowed three-ball counts to 35% of batters they faced (43/122 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 0 Percentile.
Joe Boyle has walked 9 of 53 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Marlins are 15-167 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Marlins are just 109-29 (.790) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .868.
The Marlins are just 58-15 (.795) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins are 9-89 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Athletics are just 75-155 (.326) after a loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Athletics are just 102-66 (.607) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Athletics are just 127-231 (.355) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 35-75 (.318) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .265 (498 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .208 (644 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .575 (498 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .200 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Athletics are batting just .214 at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics won just 46% of games in which they have scored first at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .289 (9,517 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 472.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 444.9
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have walked 144 of 1,396 batters (10%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 35 double plays in 230 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .146 against Athletics pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Athletics vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
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