- The Giants are -115 favorites vs the Phillies
- Giants vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Giants / Phillies TV Channel: ESPN
The San Francisco Giants (-115) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-105) on Sunday, May 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Giants are 15-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 17-17 ATS.
Giants vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 3-2, 2.98 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 1-0, 8.53 ERA
Giants vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +150 | O 7.5 -105 | -115 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -185 | U 7.5 -115 | -105 |
Giants vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Conforto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 away games (+16.40 Units / 102% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+18.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 31 games (+13.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 33 games (+12.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.20 Units / 46% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 16-18 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -8.03% ROI).
- 15-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -19.43% ROI
- 15-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -9.58% ROI
- 17-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.66% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 17-17 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.36% ROI).
- 23-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.9 Units / 14.04% ROI
- 15-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -9.95% ROI
- 17-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.66% ROI
Phillies vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Phillies vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brandon Marsh (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Phillies vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Phillies vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 31% of the time (314/1,023) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 36% of the time (687/1,899) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (80/134) against Logan Webb this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (370/787) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 56 of Taijuan Walker’s 318 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 99 of Taijuan Walker’s 463 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 139 of Taijuan Walker’s 705 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 58% (471/807) in two strike counts since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are just 40-59 (.404) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Giants are just 37-64 (.366) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Giants are 20-3 (.870) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Giants are 144-3 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 20-126 (.137) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Phillies are 28-20 (.583) after a road win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Phillies are 30-123 (.196) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Phillies are 61-38 (.616) at home since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .154 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Giants hitters are slugging just .374 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .474 (3,954 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Giants hitters are slugging just .400 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .338 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Phillies hitters are slugging .499 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .352 (454 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .573 (679 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Giants pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .137 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Phillies pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 220 of 3,180 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since last season (4,813 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Phillies vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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