Arizona vs USC Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:42 AM
  • Arizona (20-10) is a -7.5 point favorite vs USC (14-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 161.5 points
  • Arizona / USC TV channel: ESPN

The Arizona Wildcats (20-10) visit Galen Center to take on the USC Trojans (14-16) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.

Arizona is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-120).

The Arizona vs. USC Over/Under is 161.5 total points.

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Arizona vs. USC Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arizona-7.5 -120O 161.5 -105-375
USC +7.5 +100U 161.5 -115+300

Arizona vs USC Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this college basketball game with 77.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arizona vs USC Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts USC will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arizona have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+2.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • USC have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+1.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.60 Units / 4% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+0.25 Units / 0% ROI)

Arizona Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arizona has a 20-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 19-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.85 Units / -10.35% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.55 Units / -10.77% ROI

USC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

USC has a 14-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.6 Units / -10.89% ROI).

  • 12-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.35 Units / -23.05% ROI
  • 20-10 when betting the Over for +9 Units / 27.23% ROI
  • 10-20 when betting the Under for -11.95 Units / -36.27% ROI

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona has averaged 41.4 points per game (2,359 points/57 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 33.9

Arizona has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,805 points/3,519 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Arizona has averaged 84.3 points per game (4,805 points/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 72.4

Arizona has averaged 18.9 assists per game (1,079 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

USC Offensive Stats & Trends:

USC has averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (293 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

USC has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (163 assists/ 142 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

USC has averaged 1.32 points per shot (2,444 points/1,855 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

USC has averaged 16.0 assists per game (352 assists/22 games) this season — 5th best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 14.6

Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona has averaged 29.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,680 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Arizona has averaged 29.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,680 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Arizona has averaged 7.5 steals per game (284 steals/38 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Arizona has averaged 29.5 defensive rebounds per game (648 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1

USC Defensive Stats & Trends:

USC has averaged 6.7 steals per game (148 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

USC has averaged 7.3 steals per game (234 steals/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

USC has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (567/1,416) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

USC has 148 steals this season — 4th most among Pac 12 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.