Arkansas vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2024, 12:07 PM
  • Kentucky (17-11) is a -13.5 point favorite vs Arkansas (9-19)
  • Total (Over/Under): 166.5 points
  • Arkansas / Kentucky TV channel: CBS

The Arkansas Razorbacks (9-19) visit Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (17-11) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 1:30pm EST in Lexington, KY.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Arkansas vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 166.5 total points.

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Arkansas vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas+13.5 -110O 166.5 -115+750
Kentucky -13.5 -110U 166.5 -105-1200

Arkansas vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 92.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 9-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-12 Units / -38.77% ROI).

  • 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -12 Units / -11.81% ROI
  • 20-8 when betting the Over for +11.2 Units / 36.36% ROI
  • 8-20 when betting the Under for -14 Units / -45.45% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a 17-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.9 Units / 15.91% ROI).

  • 18-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -4.97% ROI
  • 20-8 when betting the Over for +11.2 Units / 36.3% ROI
  • 8-20 when betting the Under for -13.95 Units / -45.37% ROI

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.9

Arkansas has a 46% free throw rate (558 free throw attempts/1,209 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 32%

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has averaged 91.0 points per game (1,911 points/21 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.1

Kentucky is shooting 41% from three (216/527) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (385 assists/ 207 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Kentucky has a TS% of 53% this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has averaged 5.5 steals per game (116 steals/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Arkansas has allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (900 points/655 shots) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (84/225) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Arkansas has allowed 42.9 points per game (900 points/21 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 38.1

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (915/2,162) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (273/837) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Kentucky has allowed 70.4 points per game (2,535 points/36 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

Kentucky has allowed 79.3 points per game (1,666 points/21 games) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.