Arkansas vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 31

min read
No 24 from Missouri passing the NBA game ball
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2024, 11:07 AM
  • Missouri (5-15) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Arkansas (5-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Arkansas / Missouri TV channel: SECN

The Arkansas Razorbacks (5-15) visit Mizzou Arena to take on the Missouri Tigers (5-15) on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Columbia, MO.

Missouri is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Arkansas vs. Missouri Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

Bet now on Missouri vs Arkansas & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Arkansas vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas+5.5 -105O 145.5 -105+200
Missouri -5.5 -115U 145.5 -115-250

Arkansas vs Missouri Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Missouri will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas vs Missouri Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 56.5% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Missouri vs Arkansas and all games with BetMGM


  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 15 away games (+1.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 away games (+0.60 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.85 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (+0.65 Units / 1% ROI)

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 5-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-11.6 Units / -52.49% ROI).

  • 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -13 Units / -14.87% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting the Over for +5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting the Under for -7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has a 5-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-10.4 Units / -47.27% ROI).

  • 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -12.09% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has a 41% free throw rate (1,309 free throw attempts/3,155 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 32%

Arkansas has 26.3 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 20.0

Arkansas has a 46% free throw rate (499 free throw attempts/1,093 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Arkansas has 23.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.8

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has a 28% free throw rate (328 free throw attempts/1,185 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%

Missouri has 16.4 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.4

Missouri has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (398 assists/ 294 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Missouri is shooting 77% from the free throw line (494/642) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has averaged 5.2 steals per game (98 steals/19 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Arkansas has allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.5

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (145/430) this season — tied for 2nd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Arkansas has allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (1,473 points/1,208 shots) this season — tied for 3rd highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.31 points per shot (1,470 points/1,126 shots) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (2,647 points/2,101 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.14

Missouri has averaged 9.5 steals per game (520 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Missouri has forced 15.8 turnovers per game (867 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3


Bet now on Missouri vs Arkansas and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you don’t have an account, check out BetMGM’s welcome offer.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.