Arkansas State vs Louisiana Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 25, 2024, 11:48 AM
  • Louisiana (9-8) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Arkansas State (10-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • Arkansas State / Louisiana TV channel: ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (10-8) visit Cajundome to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (9-8) on Jan. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Lafayette, LA.

Louisiana is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas State+4.5 -110O 155.5 -115+165
Louisiana -4.5 -110U 155.5 -105-200

Arkansas State vs Louisiana Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Arkansas State vs Louisiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas State will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 away games (+2.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has a 11-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.3 Units / 15.71% ROI).

  • 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -6.17% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Over for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI

Louisiana Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisiana has a 9-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI).

  • 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -11.03% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has an eFG% of 52% this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

Arkansas State has made 194 three-pointers this season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State has a TS% of 48% this season — tied for 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 46%

Arkansas State has a 33% free throw rate (982 free throw attempts/2,974 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 31%

Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana is shooting 38% from three (401/1,067) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Louisiana has a TS% of 50% this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 46%

Louisiana is shooting 48% (1,497/3,135) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 44%

Louisiana has an eFG% of 54% this season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (106 steals/19 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Arkansas State has averaged 6.3 steals per game (326 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas State has forced 9.6 turnovers per game (182 turnovers/19 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 12.1

Arkansas State has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 7.3

Louisiana Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana has averaged 21.3 defensive rebounds per game (405 rebounds/19 games) this season — tied for lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Louisiana has averaged 7.8 steals per game (412 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Louisiana has averaged 8.9 steals per game (169 steals/19 games) this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Louisiana has averaged 7.8 steals per game (412 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.