- The Angels are -140 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Houston Astros (+115) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-140) on Tuesday, May 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Astros vs Angels Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 17-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 16-19 ATS.
Astros vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 +100 | +115 |
| Angels | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -120 | -140 |
Astros vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Angels and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+16.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+13.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+11.20 Units / 86% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+11.15 Units / 93% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.80 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+10.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+9.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+9.55 Units / 68% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.65 Units / 67% ROI)
Angels vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Angels vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Angels vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -500 |
Angels vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -115 |
| Framber Valdez | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Angels Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 17-17 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -5.03% ROI).
- 17-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -16.53% ROI
- 18-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 4.4% ROI
- 15-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.55 Units / -12.17% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 16-19 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -11.4% ROI).
- 19-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -3.04% ROI
- 17-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -2.8% ROI
- 16-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -6.75% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (73/107) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (83/124) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (477/1,013) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (142/214) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .125 (16-for-128) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 43% (48/111) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.703 (154 PA’s) when ahead in the count since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.127 — 99th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has struck out 40% (32/81) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Astros are 43-67 (.391) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Astros are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Astros are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Astros are 34-22 (.607) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .545.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Angels are just 4-17 (.190) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 7-16 (.304) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are 2-13 (.133) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 758 strikeouts in 4,296 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 378 strikeouts in 2,215 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters struck out just 321 times in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,001/7,363 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 1,331 strikeouts in 5,162 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Angels are just 4-17 (.190) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .272 (1,000 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Angels hitters have an OBP of .364 (358 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Astros have allowed 3.34 runs per game (324/97) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Astros pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.13 (850.0 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 35 of 320 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Aaron Loup (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
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