- Athletics / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL
The Oakland Athletics (+105) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-125) on Tuesday, February 27, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Goodyear, AZ.
Last season, the Athletics were 1-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians were 2-1 ATS.
Athletics vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +105 |
| Guardians | -125 |
Athletics vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 53.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.35 Units / 107% ROI)
- Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.85 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Tena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.90 Units / 83% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games at home (+22.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Athletics went 1-1 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -2.08% ROI).
- 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 2.5% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Guardians went 2-1 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 23.81% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 40.63% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 23.53% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -37.5% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 30% (153/505) against JP Sears in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 23% (38/164) against JP Sears on sliders in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
JP Sears allowed a slugging percentage of .465 (308 Total Bases / 662 ABs) in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — 11th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 29% (118/404) against JP Sears in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Xzavion Curry had a strikeout rate of just 35% (67/189) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 5th lowest among in AL; League Avg: 46% — fifth Percentile.
Xzavion Curry struck out just 14% (31/217) of right-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among in AL; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 26% (45/173) against Xzavion Curry in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among in AL; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Xzavion Curry had a strikeout rate of just 17% (67/404) in the 2023 season — 5th lowest among in AL; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Athletics are just 87-61 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Athletics were just 29-79 (.269) after a loss in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Athletics are just 67-143 (.319) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians are 34-114 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were 18-57 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics batted just .223 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
The Athletics allowed 5.95 runs per game (482/81) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.60.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 100 times since last season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.
Guardians vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians): Wrist, Out
- Logan Allen (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, Out
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Zach Jackson (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, Out
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
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