Athletics vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 27

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • Athletics / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL

The Oakland Athletics (+105) visit Goodyear Ballpark to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-125) on Tuesday, February 27, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Goodyear, AZ.

Last season, the Athletics were 1-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians were 2-1 ATS.

Athletics vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Athletics+105
Guardians -125

Athletics vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 53.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.35 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.85 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Jordan Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jose Tena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Will Brennan has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.90 Units / 83% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games at home (+22.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 64 of their last 120 games (+6.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Athletics went 1-1 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -2.08% ROI).

  • 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 2.5% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -6.67% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Guardians went 2-1 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 23.81% ROI).

  • 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 40.63% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 23.53% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -37.5% ROI

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 30% (153/505) against JP Sears in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 23% (38/164) against JP Sears on sliders in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

JP Sears allowed a slugging percentage of .465 (308 Total Bases / 662 ABs) in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — 11th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 29% (118/404) against JP Sears in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Xzavion Curry had a strikeout rate of just 35% (67/189) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 5th lowest among in AL; League Avg: 46% — fifth Percentile.

Xzavion Curry struck out just 14% (31/217) of right-handed batters he faced in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest among in AL; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 26% (45/173) against Xzavion Curry in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among in AL; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.

Xzavion Curry had a strikeout rate of just 17% (67/404) in the 2023 season — 5th lowest among in AL; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.

The Athletics are just 87-61 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Athletics were just 29-79 (.269) after a loss in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Athletics are just 67-143 (.319) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Guardians are 34-114 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.

The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians were 18-57 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Athletics batted just .223 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Guardians hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

The Athletics allowed 5.95 runs per game (482/81) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.60.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Guardians pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 100 times since last season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.

Guardians vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
  • Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians): Wrist, Out
  • Logan Allen (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
  • James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, Out
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Zach Jackson (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, Out
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.