Ball State vs Bowling Green Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2024, 11:26 AM
  • Bowling Green (14-14) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Ball State (16-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Ball State / Bowling Green TV channel: ESPN+

The Ball State Cardinals (16-12) visit Stroh Center to take on the Bowling Green Falcons (14-14) on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Bowling Green, OH.

Bowling Green is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-120).

The Ball State vs. Bowling Green Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Ball State vs. Bowling Green Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ball State+4.5 +100O 142.5 -110+180
Bowling Green -4.5 -120U 142.5 -110-225

Ball State vs Bowling Green Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Ball State vs Bowling Green Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 55.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.95 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.25 Units / 71% ROI)

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -20.39% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.35 Units / -1.13% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -7.5% ROI

Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bowling Green has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.4 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 16-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -0.92% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.35 Units / -4.39% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.54% ROI

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has 22.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Ball State has a 41% free throw rate (1,259 free throw attempts/3,064 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Ball State has averaged 1.35 points per shot (1,734 points/1,280 shots) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Ball State has made 7.7 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green is shooting 31% from three (168/545) this season — 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bowling Green has 22.5 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.4

Bowling Green has averaged 1.27 points per shot (4,190 points/3,311 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Bowling Green is shooting 45% (647/1,452) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (128 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Ball State has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (3,925 points/3,196 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 1.26

Ball State has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (551 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Ball State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (304 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green has averaged 25.4 defensive rebounds per game (610 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Bowling Green has averaged 6.6 steals per game (159 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Bowling Green has 347 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among Mid-American Teams

Bowling Green has 159 steals this season — 3rd most among Mid-American Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.