Ball State vs Western Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

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Western Michigan player number 22 dribbling a basketball and looking focused.
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 10:07 AM
  • Western Michigan (12-8) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Ball State (12-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Ball State / Western Michigan TV channel: ESPN+

The Ball State Cardinals (12-7) visit University Arena to take on the Western Michigan Broncos (12-8) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Kalamazoo, MI.

Western Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Ball State vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Ball State vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ball State+1.5 -115O 147.5 -110+100
Western Michigan -1.5 -105U 147.5 -110-120

Ball State vs Western Michigan Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Ball State will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Ball State vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 62.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+1.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.25 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games at home (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has a 12-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI).

  • 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -9.3% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5.24% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -14.42% ROI

Western Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Michigan has a 12-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -11.11% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Over for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 10-10 when betting the Under for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has a 41% free throw rate (1,209 free throw attempts/2,943 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Ball State has averaged 1.36 points per shot (1,578 points/1,159 shots) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Ball State has 21.4 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.5

Ball State has averaged 8.3 offensive rebounds per game (175 rebounds/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.2

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan is shooting 60% from the free throw line (233/386) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Michigan has averaged 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (242 rebounds/21 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.2

Western Michigan has a 28% free throw rate (868 free throw attempts/3,076 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 33%

Western Michigan has averaged 73.0 points per game (1,534 points/21 games) this season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (116 steals/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Ball State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (116 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Ball State has averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,279 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Ball State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (292 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan has forced 10.0 turnovers per game (520 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.2

Western Michigan has averaged 5.0 steals per game (260 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Western Michigan has averaged 5.6 steals per game (117 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Western Michigan has averaged 5.6 steals per game (117 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.