Baylor vs Iowa State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 15, 2024, 12:09 PM
  • Iowa State (21-10) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Baylor (19-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Baylor / Iowa State TV channel: ESPN

The Baylor Bears (19-10) visit T-Mobile Center to take on the Iowa State Cyclones (21-10) on Mar. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

Iowa State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Baylor vs. Iowa State Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. Iowa State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor+1.5 -115O 134.5 -110+100
Iowa State -1.5 -105U 134.5 -110-120

Baylor vs Iowa State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Baylor vs Iowa State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 57.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 21 games at home (+14.80 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+7.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.55 Units / 6% ROI)

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 19-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8 Units / 23.49% ROI).

  • 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 9.15% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.65 Units / -1.9% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.55 Units / -7.52% ROI

Iowa State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa State has a 21-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+10 Units / 28.49% ROI).

  • 17-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 10.02% ROI
  • 15-17 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -10.51% ROI
  • 17-15 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor is shooting 41% from three (188/457) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor has made 9.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Baylor has made 9.7 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Baylor has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,359 points/3,187 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.26

Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa St. averaged 28.7 points per game (516 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Iowa State has averaged 16.9 assists per game (389 assists/23 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Iowa St. shot 27% from three (26/98) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Iowa State has 23.3 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 19.6

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed an average of 0.79 points per shot (27 points/34 shots) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.05

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (6/13) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa State has forced 17.8 turnovers per game (410 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Iowa State has averaged 10.8 steals per game (248 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Iowa State has forced 17.1 turnovers per game (957 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Iowa State has averaged 10.8 steals per game (248 steals/23 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.