Baylor vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 16, 2024, 12:26 PM
  • Kansas State (9-7) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Baylor (10-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Baylor / Kansas State TV channel: ESPN+

The Baylor Bears (10-4) visit Bramlage Coliseum to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (9-7) on Jan. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Manhattan, KS.

Kansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Baylor vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor+1.5 -120O 140.5 -110-110
Kansas State -1.5 +100U 140.5 -110-110

Baylor vs Kansas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Baylor vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+6.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+12.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 23 games at home (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.05 Units / 12% ROI)

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 10-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.6 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / -100% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.25 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / -100% ROI

Kansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas State has a 8-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.75 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / -100% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / -100% ROI

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor has made 9.8 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Baylor has made 9.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Baylor is shooting 42% from three (146/346) this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor shot 39% from three (38/97) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 30%

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. attempted 363 threes in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 46 three-pointers on right wing attemps last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. averaged 2.2 turnovers per game (42 turnovers/19 games) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 3.3

Kansas St. attempted 301 threes in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (25/93) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. allowed 31.6 points per game (664 points/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Kansas St. forced 1.1 turnovers per game (23 turnovers/21 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Kansas St. allowed opponents to shoot 26% on catch and shoot opportunities (8/31) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Kansas St. allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (43/102) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.