Baylor vs Texas Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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Texas Tech's Pop Isaacs (2) looks to pass the ball during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Oklahoma State, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Lubbock, Texas. (AP Photo/Brad Tollefson)
(AP Photo/Brad Tollefson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:38 AM
  • Texas Tech (13-16) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Baylor (18-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Baylor / Texas Tech TV channel: ESPN2

The Baylor Bears (18-9) visit United Supermarkets Arena to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (13-16) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Lubbock, TX.

Texas Tech is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Baylor vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Baylor vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor+1.5 -105O 147.5 -110+110
Texas Tech -1.5 -115U 147.5 -110-135

Baylor vs Texas Tech Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this college basketball game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Baylor vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 59.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+12.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+4.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+10.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+9.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.10 Units / 27% ROI)

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 18-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.1 Units / 25.43% ROI).

  • 16-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 9.71% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Over for +1.55 Units / 4.83% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Under for -4.55 Units / -14.35% ROI

Texas Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Tech has a 13-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.6 Units / -13.92% ROI).

  • 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.4 Units / 5.55% ROI
  • 18-12 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 12-18 when betting the Under for -7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor is shooting 41% from three (188/457) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor has made 9.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Baylor has made 9.7 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.9

Baylor has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,359 points/3,187 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.26

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech attempted 43 threes on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech attempted 43 shots on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech made 0.3 three-pointers per game in transition last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Texas Tech had a TS% of 43% on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed an average of 0.79 points per shot (27 points/34 shots) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.05

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 46% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (6/13) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech allowed 25.4 points per game (457 points/18 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 35% on catch and shoot opportunities (72/204) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Texas Tech allowed 29.1 points per game (523 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 34% on catch and shoot opportunities (15/44) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 48%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.