Boston College vs Louisville Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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Louisville head coach Kenny Payne argues with a game official during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:23 AM
  • Boston College (12-18) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Louisville (12-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Boston College / Louisville TV channel: CW

The Boston College Eagles (12-18) visit KFC Yum! Center to take on the Louisville Cardinals (12-17) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 5:30pm EST in Louisville, KY.

Boston College is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Boston College vs. Louisville Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Boston College vs. Louisville Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boston College-4.5 -110O 150.5 -110-200
Louisville +4.5 -110U 150.5 -110+165

Boston College vs Louisville Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Boston College will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Boston College vs Louisville Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Boston College has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+4.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+2.85 Units / 8% ROI)

Boston College Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boston College has a 13-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.65 Units / -14.09% ROI).

  • 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 6.14% ROI
  • 19-11 when betting the Over for +6.9 Units / 20.88% ROI
  • 11-19 when betting the Under for -9.85 Units / -29.89% ROI

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 11-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.65 Units / -20.15% ROI).

  • 8-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -11.48% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Over for -1.45 Units / -4.4% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -4.54% ROI

Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boston College has 15.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.8

Boston College has averaged 1.18 points per shot (2,230 points/1,896 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Boston College has a 27% free throw rate (889 free throw attempts/3,257 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Boston College has a 27% free throw rate (377 free throw attempts/1,383 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (259 assists/ 420 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville has averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (473 turnovers/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 10.7

Louisville has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (326 assists/ 473 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Louisville has averaged 14.1 turnovers per game (773 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

Boston College Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boston College has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (313/850) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Boston College has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (99/282) in the first half this season — tied for highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Boston College has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (241/693) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Boston College has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (453/1,257) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (332/695) in the first half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Louisville has averaged 4.9 steals per game (271 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Louisville has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (776/1,648) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Louisville has allowed an average of 1.42 points per shot (1,771 points/1,249 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.26


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.