Boston College vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

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Virginia head coach Tony Bennett reacts to a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Wake Forest in Winston-Salem, N.C., Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2024, 11:44 AM
  • Virginia (16-14) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Boston College (15-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 124.5 points
  • Boston College / Virginia TV channel: ESPN

The Boston College Eagles (15-18) visit Capital One Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (16-14) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Washington, DC.

Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-120).

The Boston College vs. Virginia Over/Under is 124.5 total points.

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Boston College vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boston College+4.5 +100O 124.5 -105+185
Virginia -4.5 -120U 124.5 -115-225

Boston College vs Virginia Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Boston College vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Boston College will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+10.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games (+4.00 Units / 111% ROI)
  • Boston College have covered the Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+5.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)

Boston College Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boston College has a 16-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.65 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 19-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 11.9% ROI
  • 19-14 when betting the Over for +3.5 Units / 9.6% ROI
  • 14-19 when betting the Under for -6.85 Units / -18.95% ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 17-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 7.92% ROI).

  • 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 5.63% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Over for -7 Units / -20.38% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 11.21% ROI

Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boston College has 15.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.8

Boston College has averaged 1.18 points per shot (2,230 points/1,896 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Boston College has a 27% free throw rate (889 free throw attempts/3,257 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Boston College has a 27% free throw rate (377 free throw attempts/1,383 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (883 assists/ 474 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia has averaged 8.5 turnovers per game (474 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (299 assists/ 189 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (364 assists/ 193 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Boston College Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boston College has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (313/850) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Boston College has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (99/282) in the first half this season — tied for highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Boston College has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (241/693) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Boston College has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (453/1,257) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6

Virginia has allowed 55.2 points per game (1,931 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 68.1

Virginia has allowed 59.6 points per game (953 points/16 games) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.