Buffalo vs Western Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 24

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Western Michigan player number 22 dribbling a basketball and looking focused.
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 24, 2024, 10:53 AM
  • Western Michigan (14-11) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Buffalo (10-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Buffalo / Western Michigan TV channel: ESPN+

The Buffalo Bulls (10-15) visit University Arena to take on the Western Michigan Broncos (14-11) on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 2:30pm EST in Kalamazoo, MI.

Western Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Buffalo vs. Western Michigan Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Buffalo vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buffalo+4.5 -110O 149.5 -115+165
Western Michigan -4.5 -110U 149.5 -105-200

Buffalo vs Western Michigan Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Western Michigan will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Buffalo vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Buffalo will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 15 away games (+1.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 29 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Buffalo have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.30 Units / 8% ROI)

Buffalo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Buffalo has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -16.03% ROI).

  • 5-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -30.65% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Over for -5.4 Units / -19.64% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 10.91% ROI

Western Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Michigan has a 14-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.95 Units / 7.1% ROI).

  • 8-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -19.44% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -16% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo is shooting 41% (541/1,312) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Buffalo is shooting 27% from three (147/550) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo is shooting 27% from three (147/550) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%

Buffalo is shooting 30% from three (370/1,245) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan has averaged 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (272 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.2

Western Michigan is shooting 62% from the free throw line (276/446) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Michigan is shooting 62% from the free throw line (276/446) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Michigan has 272 offensive rebounds this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Buffalo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Buffalo has averaged 22.6 defensive rebounds per game (498 rebounds/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Buffalo has allowed 80.6 points per game (1,774 points/22 games) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 73.6

Buffalo has averaged 6.3 steals per game (138 steals/22 games) this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Buffalo has 392 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among Mid-American Teams

Western Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Michigan has forced 9.9 turnovers per game (547 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 12.1

Western Michigan has averaged 5.0 steals per game (276 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Western Michigan has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (560 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Western Michigan has averaged 5.5 steals per game (133 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 40th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.