Butler vs Xavier Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 16

(AP Photo)
  • Xavier (10-6) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Butler (8-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Butler / Xavier TV channel: FS1

The Butler Bulldogs (8-8) visit Cintas Center to take on the Xavier Musketeers (10-6) on Jan. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Cincinnati, OH.

Xavier is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Butler vs. Xavier Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Butler vs. Xavier Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Butler+5.5 -110O 150.5 -105+200
Xavier -5.5 -110U 150.5 -115-250

Butler vs Xavier Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Xavier will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Butler vs Xavier Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Butler will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Butler has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 28 games (+0.25 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Xavier have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+2.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+2.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games (+0.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+0.35 Units / 0% ROI)

Butler Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Butler has a 8-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.8 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / -100% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.85 Units / -100% ROI

Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Xavier has a 10-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.4 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / -100% ROI

Butler Offensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has 15.6 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.8

Butler has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (259 assists/ 187 TOs) this season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Butler has averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (391 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Butler has averaged 5.3 turnovers per game (90 turnovers/17 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 18.4 assists per game (973 assists/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Xavier is shooting 38% from three (184/487) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Xavier has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (973 assists/ 656 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Xavier is shooting 38% from three (383/1,018) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler Defensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (132/430) this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Butler has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,234 points/1,099 shots) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (332/1,053) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (122/397) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 27.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,474 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Xavier has 348 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Big East Teams

Xavier has 112 steals this season — tied for 3rd most among Big East Teams

Xavier has averaged 7.0 steals per game (112 steals/16 games) this season — 3rd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.3


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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.