Cal Poly vs UC Riverside Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

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UC Riverside's Zyon Pullin (5) dribbles the ball against Creighton during an NCAA college basketball game Thursday, Nov. 17, 2022, in Omaha, Neb.
(AP Photo/John Peterson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 11, 2024, 11:44 AM
  • UC Riverside (7-8) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Cal Poly (7-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Cal Poly / UC Riverside TV channel: ESPN+

The Cal Poly Mustangs (7-8) visit Student Recreation Center to take on the UC Riverside Highlanders (7-8) on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Riverside, CA.

UC Riverside is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Cal Poly vs. UC Riverside Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Cal Poly vs. UC Riverside Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cal Poly+9.5 -105O 132.5 -105+375
UC Riverside -9.5 -115U 132.5 -115-500

Cal Poly vs UC Riverside Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UC Riverside will win this college basketball game with 83.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Cal Poly vs UC Riverside Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UC Riverside will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Cal Poly has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Cal Poly have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 18 away games (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 18 away games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Cal Poly has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 18 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • UC Riverside has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UC Riverside has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UC Riverside has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • UC Riverside has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • UC Riverside have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)

Cal Poly Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cal Poly has a 7-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 3-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / 0% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / 0% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / 0% ROI

UC Riverside Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UC Riverside has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / 0% ROI
  • 9-4 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 0% ROI
  • 4-9 when betting the Under for -5.9 Units / 0% ROI

Cal Poly Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has averaged 64.6 points per game (1,034 points/16 games) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Cal Poly is shooting 45% from inside the arc (225/497) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 53%

Cal Poly has an eFG% of 45% this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Cal Poly has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (488 assists/ 634 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 1.0

UC Riverside Offensive Stats & Trends:

UC Riverside has a 26% free throw rate (264 free throw attempts/1,018 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 35%

UC Riverside has averaged 1.09 points per shot (1,113 points/1,018 shots) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 1.26

UC Riverside has a 26% free throw rate (790 free throw attempts/3,065 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 33%

UC Riverside has averaged 9.1 turnovers per game (145 turnovers/16 games) this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Cal Poly Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cal Poly has averaged 20.4 defensive rebounds per game (327 rebounds/16 games) this season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Cal Poly has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,074 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Cal Poly has averaged 21.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,074 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Cal Poly has averaged 6.2 steals per game (100 steals/16 games) this season — 4th lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UC Riverside Defensive Stats & Trends:

UC Riverside has averaged 5.3 steals per game (264 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UC Riverside has averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (371 rebounds/16 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 24.3

UC Riverside has averaged 5.3 steals per game (264 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.3

UC Riverside has averaged 5.6 steals per game (89 steals/16 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.