Cardinals vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 30

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 30, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Dodgers are -150 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Jacob Woodford
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA

The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) on Sunday, April 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Cardinals vs Dodgers Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cardinals are 10-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 12-16 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -150O 10.5 -115+125
Dodgers -1.5 +125U 10.5 -105-150

Cardinals vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Cardinals vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.75 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • David Peralta has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.30 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Trayce Thompson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)

Dodgers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Max Muncy 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Will Smith 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000

Dodgers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Max Muncy 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Nolan Gorman 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Tommy Edman 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Dodgers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Max Muncy 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Will Smith 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +195 0.5 -275

Dodgers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Woodford 3.5 +115 3.5 -155
Noah Syndergaard 3.5 -135 3.5 +105
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 24 games (+12.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games at home (+3.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 24 games (+2.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.00 Units / 21% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 12-16 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -17.5% ROI).

  • 10-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.4 Units / -33.24% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.65 Units / -15.05% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 5.69% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 12-16 against the Run Line (-3.5 Units / -11.4% ROI).

  • 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -14.63% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 12.92% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.3 Units / -20.49% ROI

Jake Woodford has a strikeout rate of just 14% (40 SO in 297 PAs) since last season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 13% (13/97) against Jake Woodford this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.

Jake Woodford has induced opposing hitters to ground into 13 double plays in 60 opportunities (22%) since last season — tied for 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — 98th Percentile.

Jake Woodford has struck out just 14% (24/178) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Noah Syndergaard has allowed 39 stolen bases since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 7 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 32 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 7 times this season — 2nd most in MLB — 99th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Cardinals are 28-10 (.737) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are just 7-2 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.

The Cardinals are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.

The Cardinals are just 0-15 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .040.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Dodgers are 6-52 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.

The Dodgers are 65-30 (.684) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Dodgers are 125-55 (.694) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Dodgers are 51-5 (.911) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

Cardinals hitters have 278 extra-base hits out of 651 total hits (43%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .467 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .470 against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .806 (2,806 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Dodgers are batting just .168 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (2,226 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.

Dodgers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (5,296 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 481 of 6,906 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 74 of 1,041 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.06 (837.1 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.06 (1554.1 IP) on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.

Dodgers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Miguel Rojas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
  • Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Back, D10
  • Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Adam Wainwright (Cardinals): Groin, D15
  • Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.