- Nevada is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Air Force
- Air Force vs. Nevada Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The Air Force Falcons (3-7) visit Clarence Mackay Stadium to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (3-8) on Nov. 23 in Reno, NV. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST.
Nevada is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (+100).
The Air Force vs. Nevada Over/Under is 44.5 total points.
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Air Force vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Air Force | +3.5 -120 | 44.5 -110 | +140 |
| Nevada | -3.5 +100 | 44.5 -110 | -165 |
Air Force vs Nevada Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Nevada will win this game with 61.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Air Force and Nevada, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Air Force vs Nevada Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 56.8% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Nevada vs Air Force and all games with BetMGM
Air Force Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Air Force have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Nevada Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games at home (+6.45 Units / 69% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nevada have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Nevada players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nevada Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Brendon Lewis has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Brendon Lewis has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Air Force is 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.65 Units / -42.47% ROI).
- Air Force is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -40.2% ROI
- Air Force is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Air Force is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Nevada is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 13.17% ROI).
- Nevada is 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -25.28% ROI
- Nevada is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Nevada is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Air Force: Keys to the Game vs. Nevada
Air Force is winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .331
Air Force is winless (0-9) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .334
Air Force is winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .384
Air Force is 5-9 (.357) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .455
Nevada: Keys to the Game vs. Air Force
Nevada is winless (0-2) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .679
Nevada is 1-11 (.083) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .384
Nevada is 4-16 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .434
Nevada was winless (0-5) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .533
Matchup Notes for Air Force vs. Nevada
Nevada’s RBs has averaged just 6.5 yards after the catch this season — 30th-worst among FBS RBs. Air Force’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s QBs has thrown for 2,142 passing yards in 11 games (just 194.7 YPG) this season — 35th-worst among FBS teams. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 176.5 passing yards per game this season — 16th-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada’s RBs has 43 receptions in 11 games (3.9 per game) this season — T-31st-best among FBS RBs. Air Force’s defense has allowed just 14.0 receptions per game this season — 5th-best among FBS defenses.
Air Force’s WRs has just 0.4 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-8th-worst among FBS WRs. Nevada’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Air Force’s offense has averaged just 0.4 passing TDs per game this season — T-worst among FBS offenses. Nevada’s defense has allowed just 1.0 passing TDs per game this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Air Force’s TEs has just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-worst among FBS TEs. Nevada’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends
Air Force Skill Players have averaged 18.1 yards per reception (2,029 yards/112 catches) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1
Air Force Skill Players have averaged just 5.9 receptions per game (59/10) this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8
Air Force WRs have averaged 19.9 yards per reception (1,749 yards/88 catches) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.3
Air Force completed passes for 20+ yards on 4 of their 6 total passing attempts (67%) last week– best among FBS Offenses; Average: 10%
Air Force WRs have been targeted 7.9 times per game (181/23) since the 2023 season– 3rd-lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 20.8
Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends
Nevada RBs have averaged just 3.3 Yards per Carry (342 yards/105 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Nevada Skill Players have fumbled 11 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– most among FBS Teams
Nevada’s RBs has averaged just 6.5 yards after the catch this season — 30th-worst among FBS RBs. Air Force’s defense has allowed 12.6 RAC this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Nevada RBs have fumbled 7 times this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Nevada RBs have fumbled 5 times in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Air Force Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends
Air Force has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 13 of 76 attempts (17%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 9%
Air Force has allowed 113.5 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs since the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 172.6
Air Force sacked opposing QBs on 24% of pass attempts (5/21) last week– T-2nd-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Air Force has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 13 of 76 attempts (17%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Air Force has tackled opponents for a loss on just 4 of 60 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 14%.
Nevada Wolf Pack Defensive Stats & Trends
Nevada has allowed 24 rushing TDs in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS
Nevada has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (30/670) since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Nevada has allowed 7.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (622 yards / 81 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.2
Nevada has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (13/323) this season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Nevada has tackled opponents for a loss on just 51 of 387 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) this season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
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