Akron vs Kent State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

BetMGM Betting Nov 19, 2024, 1:16 PM

min read

Kent State wide receiver Chrishon McCray (22) gets ready to run a play against Arkansas during an NCAA football game on Saturday, Sept.9, 2023, in Fayetteville, Ark. (AP Photo/Michael Woods)

(AP Photo/Michael Woods)

Akron is a -10 point favorite vs. Kent State
Akron vs. Kent State Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
TV Channel: CBSSN

The Akron Zips (2-8) visit Dix Stadium to take on the Kent State Golden Flashes (0-10) on Nov. 19 in Kent, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

Akron is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).

The Akron vs. Kent State Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

Bet now on Kent State vs Akron & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Akron vs. Kent State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Akron	-10 -110	49.5 -110	-400
Kent State	+10 -110	49.5 -110	+310

Akron vs Kent State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Akron will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Akron and Kent State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Akron vs Kent State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Akron will cover the spread with 75.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Kent State vs Akron and all games with BetMGM

Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer

Akron Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Akron has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Akron has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Akron has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Akron have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)

Kent State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Kent State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.45 Units / 21% ROI)
Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Kent State has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Akron players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Akron Player Prop Bets Today

Jake Newell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Bobby Golden has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kent State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Kent State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Chrishon McCray has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Ky Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Luke Floriea has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Akron Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Akron is 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).

Akron is 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -39.07% ROI
Akron is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
Akron is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kent State is 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI).

Kent State is 0-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -19 Units / -100% ROI
Kent State is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Kent State is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Akron: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State

Akron is winless (0-5) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .679

Akron is 1-14 (.062) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .471

Akron is 1-17 (.053) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .434

Akron is winless (0-8) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .487

Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Akron

Kent State is 1-18 (.053) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: .619

Kent State is winless (0-4) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .480

Kent State is winless (0-4) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .505

Kent State is 1-16 (.059) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: .536

Matchup Notes for Akron vs. Kent State

Kent State has gained 1,545 yards on 117 receptions (13.2 YPR) this season — T-28th-best among FBS skill players. Akron’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Kent State’s WRs has gained 1,428 yards on 98 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Akron’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Kent State’s WRs has gained 1,428 yards on 98 receptions (14.6 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS WRs. Akron’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch this season — 35th-best among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 15.6 RAC to WRs this season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch this season — 35th-best among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 13.0 RAC this season — T-18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Akron’s QBs has rushed for 94 yards on 107 carries (just 0.9 YPC) this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS teams. Kent State’s defense have allowed 6.0 YPC this season — worst among FBS defenses.

Akron Offensive Stats & Trends

Akron RBs have averaged 2.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (46 yards / 20 touches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 7.0

Akron WRs averaged a touchdown every 33.8 receptions (169 Rec/5 TDs) in the 2023 season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

Akron WRs were targeted 17 times in the 4th quarter last week– most among FBS Teams

Akron RBs have averaged 6.7 Yards per Carry (568 yards/85 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Akron’s WRs has averaged 14.2 yards after the catch this season — 35th-best among FBS WRs. Kent State’s defense has allowed 15.6 RAC to WRs this season — 4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kent State RBs have averaged just 2.2 Yards per Carry (197 yards/90 carries) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Kent State RBs have averaged 2.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (211 yards / 92 touches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Kent State RBs have averaged just 1.9 Yards per Carry (81 yards/43 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Kent State RBs have averaged 3.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,025 yards / 553 touches) since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Akron Zips Defensive Stats & Trends

Akron has allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Akron has allowed 4.9 touchdowns per interception (39 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Akron has intercepted 2 of 279 attempts (139.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 38.2

Akron has allowed 10.0 touchdowns per interception (20 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Akron has intercepted 8 of 613 attempts (76.6 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Kent State Golden Flashes Defensive Stats & Trends

Kent State has allowed 7.7 touchdowns per interception (23 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Kent State has allowed 31 first down receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– most in FBS

Kent State has allowed 16 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Kent State has allowed 7.7 touchdowns per interception (23 TDs allowed, and 3 INT) this season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Kent State has allowed 16 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most in FBS