- The Texas A&M is a -4 point favorite vs. Arkansas
- The Arkansas vs. Texas A&M Total(Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Arkansas Razorbacks (3-1) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (3-1) on Sep. 28 in Arlington, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Texas A&M is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).
The Arkansas vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Arkansas vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas | +4 -110 | 52.5 -110 | +150 |
| Texas A&M | -4 -110 | 52.5 -110 | -185 |
Arkansas vs Texas A&M Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 62.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas and Texas A&M, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Arkansas vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 57.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Arkansas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Arkansas have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 1 of their last 4 away games (+0.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Texas A&M Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Texas A&M have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arkansas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Arkansas Player Prop Bets Today
- Isaac TeSlaa has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.05 Units / 102% ROI)
- Andrew Armstrong has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 37% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas A&M players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas A&M Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Le’Veon Moss has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Moose Muhammad III has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jaylen Henderson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaylen Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaylen Henderson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Arkansas is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -3.03% ROI).
Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas A&M is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -26.44% ROI).
Arkansas: Keys to the Game vs. Texas A&M
Arkansas is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .493
Arkansas is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 6th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .490
Arkansas is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .470
Arkansas is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .413
Texas A&M: Keys to the Game vs. Arkansas
Texas A&M is 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .470
Texas A&M is 10-2 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .651
Texas A&M is 6-3 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-24th-best in FBS; Average: .457
Texas A&M is 2-6 (.250) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .413
Matchup Notes for Arkansas vs. Texas A&M
Texas A&M’s QBs has rushed for 282 yards on 43 carries (6.6 YPC) this season — T-5th-best among FBS teams. Arkansas’s defense have allowed just 3.0 YPC this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
Marcel Reed (TXAM) has rushed for 217 yards on 32 carries (6.8 YPC) this season — 6th-best of Qualified Quarterbacks. Arkansas’s defense have allowed just 3.0 YPC this season — T-23rd-best among FBS defenses.
No notes available for this game
Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas TEs have averaged 22.7 yards per reception (250 yards/11 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.8
Arkansas WRs have averaged a touchdown every 27.0 receptions (54 Rec/2 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among SEC Teams; Average: 8.6
Arkansas TEs have averaged 22.7 yards per reception (250 yards/11 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3
Arkansas TEs have averaged 22.7 yards per reception (250 yards/11 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– best among SEC Teams; Average: 12.7
Arkansas RBs have rushed for 5 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M TEs have averaged 16.0 yards per reception (144 yards/9 catches) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.5
Texas A&M QBs have 20 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down since the 2023 season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams
Texas A&M Skill Players have caught just 42 of 89 passes (47% Reception Pct) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 63%
Texas A&M Skill Players have caught just 7 of 19 passes (37% Reception Pct) in the 4th quarter this season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 63%
Texas A&M Skill Players have caught just 53 of 97 passes (55% Reception Pct) this season– worst among SEC Teams; Average: 67%
Arkansas Razorbacks Defensive Stats & Trends
Arkansas had 4 interceptions last week– most in the SEC
Arkansas has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (3 completions/8 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 65%
Arkansas has no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10.0
Arkansas has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (3 completions/8 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-5th-best in FBS; Average: 62%
Arkansas has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 45 rushing attempts (2% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
Texas A&M Aggies Defensive Stats & Trends
Texas A&M has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 24 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 10%.
Texas A&M tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 19 rushing attempts (32% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– best in the SEC; Average: 10%.
Texas A&M has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on 6 of their 120 carries (5%) this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2%
Texas A&M has allowed 8 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– T-most in the SEC
Texas A&M tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 23 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) last week– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.
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