- The Boise St is a -3.5 point favorite vs. UNLV
- The Boise State vs. UNLV Total (Over/Under): 66.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The Boise State Broncos (5-1) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the UNLV Rebels (6-1) on Oct. 25 in Paradise, NV. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT.
Boise St is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Boise State vs. UNLV Over/Under is 66.5 total points.
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Boise State vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Boise State | -3.5 -105 | 66.5 -110 | -165 |
| UNLV | +3.5 -115 | 66.5 -110 | +140 |
Boise State vs UNLV Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Boise St and UNLV, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Boise State vs UNLV Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 67.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Boise State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Boise State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+14.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- Boise State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
UNLV Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Boise State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Boise State Player Prop Bets Today
- Ashton Jeanty has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for UNLV players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UNLV Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Hajj-Malik Williams has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.20 Units / 120% ROI)
- Hajj-Malik Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ricky White III has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jai’Den Thomas has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jacob De Jesus has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Boise State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Boise St is 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 43.61% ROI).
- Boise State is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 4.07% ROI
- Boise State is 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
- Boise State is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
UNLV Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UNLV is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).
- UNLV is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.05 Units / 28.53% ROI
- UNLV is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- UNLV is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Boise State: Keys to the Game vs. UNLV
Boise State is 5-1 (.833) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– T-6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .575
Boise State is 9-4 (.692) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
Boise State is 9-4 (.692) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .449
Boise State is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .545
UNLV: Keys to the Game vs. Boise State
UNLV is 6-1 (.857) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .520
UNLV is 11-6 (.647) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 6th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
UNLV is 14-4 (.778) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .642
UNLV is 14-4 (.778) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .624
Matchup Notes for Boise State vs. UNLV
UNLV’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 14.1 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s QBs has thrown for 1,202 passing yards in 7 games (just 171.7 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS teams. Boise State’s defense has allowed 276.3 passing yards per game this season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boise State’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boise State’s WRs has 195 receptions in 20 games (just 9.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 20.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boise State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.3% of 544 attempts since the 2023 season — T-24th-best among FBS offenses. UNLV’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.5% of attempts since the 2023 season — 6th-best among FBS defenses.
Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends
Boise State RBs have averaged 279.7 rushing yards per game (1,678/6) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 127.1
Boise State RBs have averaged 8.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (1,796 yards / 212 touches) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5
Boise State RBs have averaged 8.6 Yards per Carry (1,678 yards/195 carries) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Boise State RBs have averaged 6.7 Yards per Carry (4,185 yards/629 carries) since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Boise State’s WRs has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. UNLV’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends
UNLV’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 14.1 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s QBs has thrown for 1,202 passing yards in 7 games (just 171.7 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS teams. Boise State’s defense has allowed 276.3 passing yards per game this season — 11th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-22nd-best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV has averaged 13.6 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 12th-best among FBS skill players. Boise State’s defense has allowed 12.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.
UNLV’s WRs has gained 3,867 yards on 271 receptions (14.3 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS WRs. Boise State’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Boise State Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends
Boise State has one interception and 10 TD passes allowed this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7
Boise State has averaged 5.0 sacks per game this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Boise State has averaged 5.0 sacks per game this season– best in FBS; Average: 2.1
Boise State has one interception and 10 TD passes allowed this season– 2nd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Boise State has intercepted one of 205 attempts this season– worst in FBS; Average: 35.8
UNLV Rebels Defensive Stats & Trends
UNLV has averaged 1.86 interceptions per game (13/7) this season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 0.77
UNLV defense has allowed 94 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-most in FBS
UNLV has allowed 94 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– T-most in FBS
UNLV has tackled opponents for a loss on just 9 of 124 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 15%.
UNLV’s opponents has attempted 42.9 passes per game this season– highest in FBS; Average: 30.6
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