- Bowling Green is a -13.5 point favorite vs. C Michigan
- Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Bowling Green Falcons (4-4) visit Kramer/Deromedi Field at Kelly/Shorts Stadium to take on the Central Michigan Chippewas (3-5) on Nov. 5 in Mount Pleasant, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.
Bowling Green is a betting favorite in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).
The Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bowling Green | -13.5 -115 | 48.5 -110 | -600 |
| Central Michigan | +13.5 -105 | 48.5 -110 | +425 |
Bowling Green vs Central Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Bowling Green will win this game with 81.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Bowling Green and C Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Bowling Green vs Central Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Central Michigan will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Bowling Green Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Bowling Green have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.95 Units / 36% ROI)
Central Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bowling Green is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Bowling Green is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -8.76% ROI
- Bowling Green is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Bowling Green is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
C Michigan is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.5 Units / -39.77% ROI).
- Central Michigan is 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -39.15% ROI
- Central Michigan is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Central Michigan is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
Bowling Green: Keys to the Game vs. Central Michigan
Bowling Green is 14-5 (.737) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .579
Bowling Green is 12-4 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-11th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .590
Bowling Green is 14-4 (.778) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2023 season– 10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
Bowling Green is 12-4 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 8th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .581
Central Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Bowling Green
Central Michigan is 6-12 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-27th-worst in FBS; Average: .484
Central Michigan is 6-9 (.400) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .538
Central Michigan is 5-11 (.312) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .446
Central Michigan is 5-12 (.294) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .416
Matchup Notes for Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan
Central Michigan’s WRs has 197 receptions in 20 games (just 9.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 10.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Central Michigan’s QBs has thrown for 1,493 passing yards in 8 games (just 186.6 YPG) this season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 181.5 passing yards per game this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Central Michigan’s offense has thrown for 3,732 passing yards in 20 games (just 186.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 180.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Bowling Green’s WRs has averaged just 11.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed 12.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green’s WRs has averaged just 11.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed 13.8 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green’s WRs has 160 receptions in 21 games (just 7.6 per game) since the 2023 season — 6th-worst among FBS WRs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed just 17.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green’s WRs has averaged just 11.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed 12.8 RAC since the 2023 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green TEs have averaged 9.1 receptions per game (73/8) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.4
Bowling Green’s WRs has averaged just 11.4 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed 13.8 RAC to WRs since the 2023 season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green WRs have averaged a touchdown every 26.0 receptions (52 Rec/2 TDs) this season– 7th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.1
Bowling Green TEs have 14 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-most among FBS Teams
Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Central Michigan’s WRs has 197 receptions in 20 games (just 9.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 10.4 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.
Central Michigan’s QBs has thrown for 1,493 passing yards in 8 games (just 186.6 YPG) this season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 181.5 passing yards per game this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
Central Michigan’s offense has thrown for 3,732 passing yards in 20 games (just 186.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — 20th-worst among FBS offenses. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 180.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
Central Michigan’s WRs has 197 receptions in 20 games (just 9.8 per game) since the 2023 season — T-21st-worst among FBS WRs. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 15.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-8th-best among FBS defenses.
Central Michigan’s QBs has thrown for 3,660 passing yards in 20 games (just 183.0 YPG) since the 2023 season — 19th-worst among FBS teams. Bowling Green’s defense has allowed just 180.5 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — T-6th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green Falcons Defensive Stats & Trends
Bowling Green has forced 2 fumbles on 286 carries (143.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 43.8
Bowling Green has allowed 7 rushing TDs on 286 carries (40.9 Carries Per TD) this season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 20.7
Bowling Green has sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (53/565) since the 2023 season– T-3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
Bowling Green has forced 2 fumbles on 286 carries (143.0 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: 43.2
Bowling Green has sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (53/565) since the 2023 season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 7%
Central Michigan Chippewas Defensive Stats & Trends
Central Michigan has intercepted 7 of 574 attempts (82.0 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5
Central Michigan has allowed 7.5 touchdowns per interception (15 TDs allowed, and 2 INT) this season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7
Central Michigan has intercepted 2 of 217 attempts (108.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.2
Central Michigan has allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (35 TDs allowed, and 7 INT) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Central Michigan has intercepted 2 of 217 attempts (108.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.5
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