Buffalo vs Eeastern Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 13

Eastern Michigan head coach Chris Creighton watches from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Central Michigan, Friday, Nov. 25, 2022, in Ypsilanti, Mich. (AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
  • Eastern Michigan is a -1.5 point favorite vs. Buffalo U
  • Buffalo vs. Eastern Michigan Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
  • TV Channel: ESPNU

The Buffalo Bulls (6-4) visit Rynearson Stadium to take on the Eastern Michigan Eagles (5-5) on Nov. 20 in Ypsilanti, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

E Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Buffalo vs. Eastern Michigan Over/Under is 52.5 total points.

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Buffalo vs. Eastern Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buffalo+1.5 -12052.5 -110-110
Eastern Michigan -1.5 +10052.5 -110-110

Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Eastern Michigan will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Buffalo U and E Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Eastern Michigan will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Buffalo has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+3.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Buffalo has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Eastern Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.75 Units / 14% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Buffalo players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Buffalo Player Prop Bets Today

  • Al-Jay Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • JJ Jenkins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Eastern Michigan players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eastern Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Oran Singleton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cole Snyder has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Markus Allen has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Buffalo Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Buffalo U is 5-5 against the spread this college football season (-0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Buffalo is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 59.22% ROI
  • Buffalo is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 24.55% ROI
  • Buffalo is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -32.73% ROI

Eastern Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

E Michigan is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 33.79% ROI).

  • Eastern Michigan is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • Eastern Michigan is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Eastern Michigan is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Buffalo: Keys to the Game vs. Eastern Michigan

Buffalo is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .619

Buffalo is undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .650

Buffalo is 6-2 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-15th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .590

Buffalo is 2-12 (.143) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-15th-worst in FBS; Average: .383

Eastern Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Buffalo

Eastern Michigan is undefeated (5-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .572

Eastern Michigan is 10-10 (.500) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .619

Eastern Michigan is 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .650

Eastern Michigan is 3-6 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Matchup Notes for Buffalo vs. Eastern Michigan

Eastern Michigan’s WRs has averaged 24.6 targets per game this season — T-25th-highest among FBS WRs. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 14.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Terry Lockett (EMC) has 37 receptions in 10 games (3.7 per game) this season — T-5th-worst of Qualified Skill Players. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 22.6 receptions per game this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oran Singleton (EMC) has averaged just 10.0 yards after the catch this season — 9th-worst of Qualified Wide Receiver. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC to WRs this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Buffalo has 153 receptions in 10 games (just 15.3 per game) this season — T-27th-worst among FBS skill players. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo Offensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo has 153 receptions in 10 games (just 15.3 per game) this season — T-27th-worst among FBS skill players. Eastern Michigan’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Buffalo RBs have averaged 6.2 Yards per Carry (459 yards/74 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– T-24th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Buffalo RBs have averaged just 4.5 Yards per Carry (2,560 yards/574 carries) since the 2023 season– T-21st-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Buffalo Skill Players have averaged just 15.3 receptions per game (153/10) this season– T-27th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.8

Buffalo Skill Players have averaged just 11.1 yards per reception (512 yards/46 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Eastern Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Eastern Michigan WRs have averaged 22.2 yards per reception (466 yards/21 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 6th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.6

Eastern Michigan RBs have averaged 29.0 yards per reception (87 yards/3 catches) in close and late situations since the 2023 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 8.2

Eastern Michigan TEs have averaged just 5.2 yards per reception (89 yards/17 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Eastern Michigan WRs have caught 4 touchdown passes in close and late situations this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Eastern Michigan’s WRs has averaged 24.6 targets per game this season — T-25th-highest among FBS WRs. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 14.8 receptions per game to WRs this season — T-10th-worst among FBS defenses.

Buffalo Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 35 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on 137 of 798 rushing attempts (17% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-34th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Buffalo has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 63 rushing attempts (14% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: 11%.

Buffalo has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (34/687) since the 2023 season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Buffalo has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 18 of 118 attempts (15%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 9%

Eastern Michigan Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Eastern Michigan has allowed 5 TD passes in close and late situations this season– T-most in FBS

Eastern Michigan has allowed 5 TD passes in close and late situations this season– T-most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Eastern Michigan has allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (15 completions/19 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 54%

Eastern Michigan has allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (15 completions/19 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 54%

Eastern Michigan has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 39 of 264 attempts (15%) this season– T-2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 10%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.