BYU vs Arizona St Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

BetMGM Betting Nov 22, 2024, 1:15 PM

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Arizona State head coach Kenny Dillingham shouts at officials during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Colorado, Saturday, Oct. 7, 2023, in Tempe, Ariz. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)

(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)

Arizona St is a -3 point favorite vs. BYU
BYU vs. Arizona State Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
TV Channel: ESPN

The BYU Cougars (9-1) visit Mountain America Stadium to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils (8-2) on Nov. 23 in Tempe, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST.

Arizona St is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The BYU vs. Arizona State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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BYU vs. Arizona State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
BYU	+3 -110	48.5 -110	+135
Arizona State	-3 -110	48.5 -110	-160

BYU vs Arizona State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Arizona State will win this game with 59.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and Arizona St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

BYU vs Arizona State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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BYU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

BYU has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+10.10 Units / 61% ROI)
BYU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 6 away games (+8.60 Units / 114% ROI)
BYU have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 6 away games (+6.15 Units / 85% ROI)
BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.50 Units / 42% ROI)
BYU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)

Arizona State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Arizona State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
Arizona State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Arizona State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Arizona State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 28% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for BYU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best BYU Player Prop Bets Today

Darius Lassiter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
LJ Martin has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Hinckley Ropati has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Jake Retzlaff has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Jake Retzlaff has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Arizona State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Jordyn Tyson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Cam Skattebo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Sam Leavitt has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Cam Skattebo has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Sam Leavitt has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

BYU is 7-3 against the spread this college football season (+3.7 Units / 33.04% ROI).

BYU is 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 71.84% ROI
BYU is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
BYU is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Arizona State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona St is 8-2 against the spread this college football season (+5.8 Units / 52.97% ROI).

Arizona State is 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 59.31% ROI
Arizona State is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Arizona State is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

BYU: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona State

BYU is winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .394

BYU is winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .352

BYU is undefeated (10-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .598

BYU is 8-1 (.889) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .691

Arizona State: Keys to the Game vs. BYU

Arizona State is 5-8 (.385) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .592

Arizona State is 5-8 (.385) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Arizona State is 5-11 (.312) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .510

Arizona State is 5-10 (.333) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .511

Matchup Notes for BYU vs. Arizona State

Arizona State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.0% of 266 attempts this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. BYU’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.2% of attempts this season — T-14th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State’s RBs has averaged 13.2 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 5.4 RAC to RBs this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State’s WRs have just 123.4 receiving yards per game this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 176.1 receiving yards per game this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

BYU’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 12.5% of 295 attempts this season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Arizona State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU’s WRs has gained 1,848 yards on 123 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 11.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — T-13th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU has gained 2,332 yards on 173 receptions (13.5 YPR) this season — T-2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

BYU Offensive Stats & Trends

BYU’s WRs has gained 1,848 yards on 123 receptions (15.0 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

BYU’s TEs has gained 239 yards on 26 receptions (just 9.2 YPR) this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 TEs. Arizona State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.

Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 3.6 receptions (29 Rec/8 TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.1

Arizona State RBs have 8 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Arizona State’s RBs has averaged 13.2 yards after the catch this season — T-5th-best among FBS RBs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 5.4 RAC to RBs this season — 11th-best among FBS defenses.

Arizona State RBs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

BYU Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends

BYU has sacked opposing QBs just once on 74 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 16.1

BYU has sacked opposing QBs just once on 74 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

BYU has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (25/727) since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 7%

BYU has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (25/727) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%

BYU sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (11/408) in the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%

Arizona State Sun Devils Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona State has allowed 9 TD passes in close and late situations since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

Arizona State allowed 5.6 touchdowns per interception (28 TDs allowed, and 5 INT) in the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.7

Arizona State did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.6

Arizona State allowed no passing TDs (40 pass attempts) last week– T-best in the Big 12; Average: 23.1

Arizona State did not record a sack (40 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 16.4