- The BYU is a -2.5 point favorite vs. Central Florida
- The BYU vs. UCF Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The BYU Cougars (7-0) visit FBC Mortgage Stadium to take on the UCF Knights (3-4) on Oct. 26 in Orlando, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
BYU is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The BYU vs. UCF Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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BYU vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| BYU | -2.5 -105 | 55.5 -110 | -125 |
| UCF | +2.5 -115 | 55.5 -110 | +105 |
BYU vs UCF Prediction:
The winning team model predicts BYU will win this game with 54.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both BYU and Central Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
BYU vs UCF Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 73.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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BYU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- BYU has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+5.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- BYU has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+4.55 Units / 63% ROI)
- BYU have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- BYU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+2.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- BYU have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
UCF Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for BYU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best BYU Player Prop Bets Today
- Darius Lassiter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jake Retzlaff has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Hinckley Ropati has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jake Retzlaff has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- LJ Martin has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for UCF players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UCF Player Prop Best Bets Today
- RJ Harvey has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- RJ Harvey has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Kobe Hudson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Randy Pittman Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Trent Whittemore has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
BYU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
BYU is 6-1 against the spread this college football season (+4.9 Units / 63.23% ROI).
- BYU is 6-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 90% ROI
- BYU is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
- BYU is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
UCF Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Central Florida is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.75 Units / 9.74% ROI).
- UCF is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -24.89% ROI
- UCF is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.65 Units / 8.39% ROI
- UCF is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.3% ROI
BYU: Keys to the Game vs. UCF
BYU is undefeated (9-0) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .667
BYU is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .629
BYU is 11-3 (.786) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 33rd-best in FBS; Average: .644
BYU is 8-6 (.571) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-40th-best in FBS; Average: .449
UCF: Keys to the Game vs. BYU
UCF is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .477
UCF is 1-6 (.143) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst in FBS; Average: .435
UCF is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .441
UCF is 5-11 (.312) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .538
Matchup Notes for BYU vs. UCF
UCF has 321 receptions in 20 games (just 16.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s WRs has averaged 16.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Power 5 WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF’s WRs has averaged 16.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
BYU has gained 1,693 yards on 124 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
BYU has gained 1,693 yards on 124 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
BYU’s WRs has gained 1,296 yards on 85 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
BYU Offensive Stats & Trends
BYU has gained 1,693 yards on 124 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
BYU has gained 1,693 yards on 124 receptions (13.7 YPR) this season — T-20th-best among FBS skill players. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
BYU’s WRs has gained 1,296 yards on 85 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
BYU’s WRs has gained 1,296 yards on 85 receptions (15.2 YPR) this season — T-16th-best among FBS WRs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-29th-best among FBS defenses.
BYU Skill Players have averaged just 8.3 yards per reception (450 yards/54 catches) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0
UCF Offensive Stats & Trends
UCF has 321 receptions in 20 games (just 16.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s WRs has averaged 16.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Power 5 WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF’s WRs has averaged 16.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 WRs. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
UCF has 321 receptions in 20 games (just 16.0 per game) since the 2023 season — T-29th-worst among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed 20.1 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-30th-worst among FBS defenses.
UCF has averaged 14.5 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — T-7th-best among FBS skill players. BYU’s defense has allowed just 10.9 RAC since the 2023 season — T-28th-best among FBS defenses.
BYU Cougars Defensive Stats & Trends
BYU has not recorded a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
BYU has not recorded a sack (31 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 17.7
BYU has allowed first downs on 16% of pass attempts on 1st down this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 29%
BYU has averaged a sack every 28.7 pass attempts (659 Pass Attempts/23 Sacks) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.9
BYU has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (23/659) since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 7%
UCF Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
UCF has allowed 5.7 yards from scrimmage per touch (195 yards / 34 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 3.7
UCF has forced 7 fumbles on 734 carries (104.9 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 41.7
UCF has allowed 10 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– T-4th-most in FBS
UCF has not recorded a sack (28 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0
UCF has allowed 8 rushing TDs on just 21 carries (2.6 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 4.8
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