- The Central Florida is a -3 point favorite vs. Cincinnati
- The Cincinnati vs. UCF Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Cincinnati Bearcats (3-2) visit FBC Mortgage Stadium to take on the UCF Knights (3-2) on Oct. 12 in Orlando, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Central Florida is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Cincinnati vs. UCF Over/Under is 59.5 total points.
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Cincinnati vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cincinnati | +3 -105 | 59.5 -115 | +135 |
| UCF | -3 -115 | 59.5 -105 | -160 |
Cincinnati vs UCF Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UCF will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Cincinnati and Central Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Cincinnati vs UCF Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 59.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Cincinnati Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Cincinnati have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Cincinnati have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 40% ROI)
UCF Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- UCF have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Cincinnati players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cincinnati Player Prop Bets Today
- Corey Kiner has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 95% ROI)
- Xzavier Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for UCF players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UCF Player Prop Best Bets Today
- RJ Harvey has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Kobe Hudson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- RJ Harvey has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Cincinnati is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -3.6% ROI).
- Cincinnati is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 13.76% ROI
- Cincinnati is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI
- Cincinnati is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI
UCF Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Central Florida is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- UCF is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -18.25% ROI
- UCF is 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 91.95% ROI
- UCF is 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.45 Units / -100% ROI
Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. UCF
Cincinnati is 2-6 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .503
Cincinnati is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .485
Cincinnati is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .537
Cincinnati is 3-7 (.300) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 21st-worst in FBS; Average: .543
UCF: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati
UCF is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: .423
UCF is 5-9 (.357) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .486
UCF is 1-5 (.167) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst in FBS; Average: .438
UCF is 3-5 (.375) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .506
Matchup Notes for Cincinnati vs. UCF
UCF’s WRs has 184 receptions in 18 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 23rd-worst among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.1% of 118 attempts this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.4% of attempts this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s WRs has averaged 16.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.
Cincinnati’s TEs has gained 293 yards on 23 receptions (12.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati’s offense has thrown for 1,506 passing yards in 5 games (301.2 YPG) this season — 16th-best among FBS offenses. UCF’s defense has allowed 247.0 passing yards per game this season — 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati has gained 1,499 yards on 110 receptions (13.6 YPR) this season — T-25th-best among FBS skill players. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 10.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (426 yards / 39 touches) in the 4th quarter this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 9.6 Yards per Carry (346 yards/36 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 12.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (349 yards / 28 touches) in close and late situations this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.6
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 11.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (217 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd down this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.8
Cincinnati’s TEs has gained 293 yards on 23 receptions (12.7 YPR) this season — 3rd-best among Big 12 TEs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — T-32nd-best among FBS defenses.
UCF Offensive Stats & Trends
UCF’s WRs has 184 receptions in 18 games (just 10.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 23rd-worst among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed just 16.7 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.1% of 118 attempts this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Cincinnati’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.4% of attempts this season — 4th-best among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s WRs has averaged 16.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among FBS WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.
UCF’s WRs has averaged 16.8 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — best among Big 12 WRs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among P5 defenses.
UCF has averaged 14.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 skill players. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati Bearcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati has no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 10.9
Cincinnati has no interceptions (76 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 46.9
Cincinnati has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (7 completions/21 attempts) in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 51%
Cincinnati has no interceptions (76 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.7
Cincinnati has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 107 of 557 carries (19%) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 14%
UCF Knights Defensive Stats & Trends
UCF has averaged 0.6 sacks per game this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 1.8
UCF has averaged a sack every 55.3 pass attempts (166 Pass Attempts/3 Sacks) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 16.6
UCF has sacked opposing QBs on just 2% of pass attempts (3/166) this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 6%
UCF has averaged a sack every 55.3 pass attempts (166 Pass Attempts/3 Sacks) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.0
UCF has allowed 7.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (117 yards / 16 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 3.6
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