- Kansas State is a -8.5 point favorite vs. Cincinnati
- Cincinnati vs. Kansas State Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN2
The Cincinnati Bearcats (5-5) visit Bill Snyder Family Stadium to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (7-3) on Nov. 23 in Manhattan, KS. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST.
Kansas State is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Cincinnati vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Cincinnati vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Cincinnati | +8.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 | +240 |
| Kansas State | -8.5 -110 | 52.5 -110 | -300 |
Cincinnati vs Kansas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 72.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Cincinnati and Kansas State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Cincinnati vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 66.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Cincinnati Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Cincinnati have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.15 Units / 71% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.50 Units / 66% ROI)
- Cincinnati have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cincinnati has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.20 Units / 10% ROI)
Kansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+2.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.55 Units / 7% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Cincinnati players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cincinnati Player Prop Bets Today
- Corey Kiner has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Xzavier Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Xzavier Henderson has hit the Receptions Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kansas State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Keagan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- DJ Giddens has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Cincinnati Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Cincinnati is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -13.7% ROI).
- Cincinnati is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -17.32% ROI
- Cincinnati is 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -32.73% ROI
- Cincinnati is 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 24.55% ROI
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas State is 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.65 Units / -42.66% ROI).
- Kansas State is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -18.36% ROI
- Kansas State is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Kansas State is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Cincinnati: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State
Cincinnati is 2-8 (.200) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .511
Cincinnati is winless (0-3) when not forcing a fumble this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .508
Cincinnati is 5-9 (.357) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– 15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .510
Cincinnati is 5-12 (.294) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-39th-worst in FBS; Average: .415
Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Cincinnati
Kansas State is 14-1 (.933) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-6th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .713
Kansas State is 10-4 (.714) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .489
Kansas State is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .618
Kansas State is 13-4 (.765) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– 25th-best in FBS; Average: .598
Matchup Notes for Cincinnati vs. Kansas State
Kansas State’s RBs has averaged 9.6 yards after the catch this season — 30th-best among FBS RBs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s RBs has averaged 9.6 yards after the catch this season — 30th-best among FBS RBs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State’s RBs has averaged 5.7 targets per game this season — T-23rd-highest among FBS RBs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 3.7 receptions per game to RBs this season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati has been targeted 317 times this season — 5th-most among Big 12 skill players. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 2,347 receiving yards this season — 5th-most among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati’s TEs has 46 receptions in 10 games (4.6 per game) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 19.6 receptions per game this season — 4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Cincinnati’s TEs has 46 receptions in 10 games (4.6 per game) this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 2.0 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-5th-best among FBS defenses.
Cincinnati Offensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati Skill Players averaged just 6.6 yards per reception (66 yards/10 catches) last week– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.4
Cincinnati Skill Players averaged just 4.1 yards per reception (29 yards/7 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last week– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.3
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 9.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (154 yards / 17 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5
Cincinnati RBs have averaged 9.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (363 yards / 38 touches) in close and late situations this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Cincinnati Skill Players averaged just 0.4 yards per reception (2 yards/5 catches) on 1st down last week– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 9.9
Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State’s RBs has averaged 9.6 yards after the catch this season — 30th-best among FBS RBs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-22nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas State WRs were targeted 16 times in the 4th quarter last week– most among Power Conference Teams
Kansas State TEs have caught 8 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Kansas State’s RBs has averaged 9.6 yards after the catch this season — 30th-best among FBS RBs. Cincinnati’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — T-4th-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State TEs have caught 17 touchdown passes in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-most among Power Conference Teams
Cincinnati Bearcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Cincinnati has no interceptions and 20 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 10.8
Cincinnati has no interceptions (88 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 45.9
Cincinnati has no interceptions (88 pass attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.8
Cincinnati has allowed 7.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (8,689 yards / 1,106 touches) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the Big 12; Average: 7.1
Cincinnati has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 85 of 615 attempts (14%) since the 2023 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%
Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.9
Kansas State has allowed 2.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (288 yards / 100 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 3.9
Kansas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 70 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 14%.
Kansas State has allowed first downs on 19% of rush attempts since the 2023 season– 2nd-best in the Big 12; Average: 23%
Kansas State opponents averaged 8.0 Passing Attempts per TD (40 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 4.5
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